Jerry,

   I have been a TG user for about three years now, and I have a great respect for your product.  I was a DRf only user prior to being turned on to your sheets.  Your product gave me profitable information about this game that I love.

 But things have changed now.  The figures that horses have run before are increasingly less reliable predictors of how they will run today.  The most important decisions a handicapper in todays game has to make are 1.  Were this horses past performances aided by performance enhancing substances, and 2. Will the horse recieve performance enhancing substances today.

 I grew up at the track (Beulah Park and Latonia) by my fathers side with a $10 budget that he alotted me to make WPS bets.  The joy of the game was and has always been finding out whether or not I could process the available information better than the guy next to me, and make it profitable.  That takes skill.  The game today takes a lot less skill, and a lot more luck. In a fair--or closer to fair-- game, your product is invaluable; well worth the $25 sticker.  In todays game, the expenditure is much harder to justify.

 I consider myself a rational person.  As such I struggle with my irrational activity of wagering resources on events which I know have a high probability of being fixed.  But I know why I do it.  I do it for the same reason the other rational people who post here do it.  I love it,  it\'s in my blood. I could stop but I really don\'t want to.

 Which leads to the truth of the matter.  Right now, Jeff Mullins is right!  We are all suckers, plain and simple.  The question is whether or not we are going to do anything about it.  Do we the bettors have any voice in this thing?  Me being the small fish that I am, not really.  But I am sure Jerry that you know the biggest fish.  The ones who could possibly start to effect some changes.  But, who knows, maybe the biggest fish are privvy to the info necessary to be profitable in today\'s game and have no motivation to seek any changes.  That would be too bad.

 All I know is a no nonsence, no tolerance, straight forward system needs to be put in place across the country very soon, because I am far too intelligent to remain a perpetual sucker, no matter how much I love this game.



Post Edited (05-18-05 10:40)

-- Whose motorcycle is this?

---- It\'s not a motorcycle baby, it\'s a chopper.

-- Whose chopper is this?

---- Zed\'s

-- Who is Zed?

---- Zed\'s dead baby, Zed\'s dead!

 \"I think the needle man was able to sneak in on this guy\" -Chuckles

When the following is taken into account (1)how poorly ALL of Frankel\'s other horses performed (LJ, NTL, ME, Snorter), (2)how handily this horse defeated such a classy field, and most importantly (3)the proud way that Stronach (and Stronach only) paraded this horse around before entering the winners circle.  I gotta believe the word came down from on high to let the needle man do his thing.

New Age Handicapping 101 :

Step One - Identify the fastest horses on the planet.
Okay, that would be Pleasantly Perfect, M D\' Oro, Mineshaft, Candy Ride, and say Perfect Drift.

Step Two - Identify the horse in todays race that has a legitimate shot to not run dead last in a race consisting of all horses from Step One.

If Step Two yields no horse, resort to traditional handicapping methods.

If Step Two does yield a horse, proceed to cash win ticket after win ticket on said horse, single said horse in all multi-race wagers,  and focus any further traditional handicapping efforts on bottom portions of exotic plays.

Final Exam will be June 5th.

Class dismissed.



Post Edited (05-17-04 16:47)

Regarding the Pick 4

Played: 2,3,7 with 4,5,6,9 with 2 with 1,3,4,7 ($48)

In the 9th, the 4 & 6 did have the best grass tops, 0^3 and 1^1 respectfully.  But they were also the two who showed the best ability to run from somewhere other than on the lead.  While i heard that speed was fairing well on the grass, in a race full of contenders who run their best on the lead, i figured the pace would be hot and wanted a few horses who could kick home.  The 5 had the best last race figure, and the 9???.......well........he had come home in 29&1 before and @ 41-1...I\'d of had story to tell ! ! ! !

I\'ve been using your product on and off for a year or so now.  Thanks to the thoro\'s, I hit the pick 4 @ the Toga today.  Thanks a bunch!  (I just wish Tap the Admiral(15-1)could\'ve come through in the 9th.)

Keep up the good work and thanks again.

clark