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Messages - J-DUB

1
Ask the Experts / Re: rotw
July 01, 2006, 12:21:56 PM

        I\'m looking fot Dutrow to go back to back in the Suburban. Liked last race by Wild Desert  ( first under Dutrow ) and he will have him tighter for this which should mean a move up. The 1 1/4 should be to his liking as well. Invasor looks like a bounce.
2
Ask the Experts / Re: ROTW
June 17, 2006, 03:06:38 PM


           Ron Ellis brings the Buzzard in for this one instead of keeping out west. He showed a fondness for the strip in the 2005 Derby. Will be close early with ground saving trip. Believe he will open up turning for home and will hold the rest off.
3
Ask the Experts / Re: Distance
June 15, 2006, 09:35:47 PM

       CtC,

             Agree with your thought. I stated in a post on Belmont day that the figures are to be thrown out because of the distance. It is just such a unique distance, IMO the Belmont at 1 1/2 miles for 3 yo is an entity all it\'s own. Very difficult to apply \"speed\" figures to it. No reason to not take the after race figures with a grain of salt as well.

             At the very least you should factor in with your handicapping of their next start. Just my opinion on the Belmont in particular.


           
4
Ask the Experts / Re: Betting the Belmont
June 10, 2006, 03:22:45 PM

      CtC,
           I like your Derby runner scenario the best but for a different reason. I think they are among the ones most likely to actually finish the 1 1/2 miles. Throw out the numbers in this race and use those who can run that far period. In no particular order:

        Bluegrass Cat
        Steppenwolfer
        Jazil
        Deputy Glitters
        Bob and John
5
Ask the Experts / Re: Preakness Picks
May 20, 2006, 03:12:05 PM


      Yeah, he got caught between a rock and a hard place. Eddie Arcaro just rolled over.
6
Ask the Experts / Re: Preakness Picks
May 20, 2006, 02:30:46 PM



         Agree with you Buck.

         Straight exactas -  Barbaro
                            ---------
                             Like Now
                             Greeley
                             Bernie
7
Ask the Experts / Re: Start
May 07, 2006, 04:15:24 PM


    richiebee, you are correct about the starter. The new starter, Scott Jordan, had his crew load the horses but Duncan ( Bob ? ) pushed the button for the start.

   I would have thought they would have at least backed Ex Caelis out of the gate to give her a look over before letting her run. She was vertical in the air and the rider just slid down her backside.

   
8
Ask the Experts / Re: DERBY DAY PICK FOUR!
May 06, 2006, 01:59:57 PM



    Dana666,

              In race 8 I think Atlas Valley could upset with the weight break at big odds. Will be running on late if he can get a good trip and pace.


9


     Let\'s go GERONIMO !
10
Ask the Experts / Re: Ky Oaks
May 05, 2006, 11:47:24 AM


     I like the previous race of Diplomat Lady. I think she can stretch out today and run well at a price.
11


     1ST - Point Determined

     2ND - Bob and John

     3RD - Bluegrass Cat

     4TH - Showing Up


      Best of Luck,

     
     
12
Ask the Experts / Re: One and Done
October 28, 2005, 11:24:39 AM


    Juv Fillies - ORIGINAL SPIN
    Juv Colts -   FIRST SAMURAI
    F-M Turf -    INTERCONTINENTAL
    Sprint -      FOG
    Mile -        HOST
    Distaff -     HAPPY TICKET
    Turf -        AZAMOUR
    Classic -     CHOCTAW NATION
   
13
Ask the Experts / Re: Can't stop my leg...
October 22, 2005, 12:57:47 PM

     Those overnighters out west must be some tough hustle!
14
Ask the Experts / Re: ROTW
October 22, 2005, 12:37:40 PM

    Flying Glitter keeps on winning. I like that and the 8-1 with Albarado.
15
Ask the Experts / Re: Flower Bowl / TG ROTW
October 01, 2005, 08:53:16 AM


    I like the weight break for Melhor Ainda in here. Rider and trainer don\'t hurt her chances any either. Combine all the above with a another forward move and she looks like the play. I believe she will run down Sand Springs to get the nod.
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