P-DUB!!! Great hit, buddy!

1-3-8-12

I like him a lot too....although I haven\'t seen his sheet yet. I\'m certain he can get the distance, but the big issue I have is this will be his third race since 3/26.

Materiality also had a horrible draw. Thought he ran well in spite of it.

Great call Paul! Best of luck on the rest of the card.

AJ,

You don\'t like the distance or you don\'t like the distance against this particular field because he has won at the distance against a pretty good field in the Cigar...

I agree on Bayern and feel that he was just geared down at CD when they realized he didn\'t have it that day. I think he\'ll run tomorrow.

FYI: 24 races at 1m this meet at Belmont and 0 winners from post 8 and beyond. 6 wire to wire winners..

..and Frenchy is riding well today. 6 starts, 2 wins, 2 places, and 1 show. Next mount is on the Moon

A- Dortmund, Frosted
B- American Pharoah, Firing Line
C- Carpe Diem, Bolo, Danzig Moon, Upstart, Mubtahiij

Sleeper running late-Keen Ice and Frammento

Good start Johnny! Best of luck!

Friday was Friday and today is today. Could be a completely different story... today. Hoping for a fair track.

Good luck everyone!

Thanks for this Michael. Very helpful.

Ha...that\'s almost as good as me telling this very drunk couple in gold room at Arlington that I kind of liked AK and she said...(slurring of course)..\"WHAT?!? Animal Kingdom!?!? I would never bet that horse! It\'s the worst ****ing ride at Disney World ever!\"

They were nowhere to be found after the race

AK also had the first time dirt angle working for him

This is pretty much how I feel. I want to play Upstart and/or Frosted so bad, but IMO the draw hurt Upstart and he\'ll likely be caught wide...oh...and the antibiotic thing. He\'s also run 4 straight killers. I love the horse but those are legitimate concerns IMO. As far as Frosted, the throat surgery is a huge question mark. I have yet to read an article and/or post that can convince me otherwise.

It\'s not that Dortmund is the clear standout in the field, he just happens to be the one with a good draw, decent pattern, he likes Churchill, he\'s game, he\'ll get the distance, and he\'s big enough to take the beating that will likely occur in a 20 horse field.

I\'m not going to feel bad about picking a short priced horse as a key if he is the most likely winner. Some will say \"there\'s no value\" in picking him. That\'s silly. This race is nothing but value every year. Maybe not in a win bet, but there is a ton of value in the vertical wagers.

The last few pieces of the puzzle are determining if there is a track bias on Saturday, how the Pletcher horses are running, and what they look like in the post parade.

Good luck everyone

I use these figures because I trust them more than any other. That\'s why I spend the $40 on the seminar and pre-entries. Speed figures are one piece of the big puzzle. Yes we can see that there are seven horses faster, but will all 7 be faster than him on Saturday? For a lot of reasons, I doubt it.

I get that this is a TG board and we can discuss who is going to run the fastest figure on Saturday, but we all know that the fastest figure doesn\'t always win the race. Just ask Zenyatta