Picks Only -- Innoculate yourself from Redboarding

[SoCalMan2]

Materiality seems to be the horse to me.  Best Jockey in a race where you need a good jockey.  Beat the fastest horse in the race.  Fastest horse in the race oftens gives up excessive ground, no reason to think differently today.  Materiality has never bounced and could move forward.

[sekrah]

Tier One - Upstart, Firing Line
Tier Two - Frosted, American Pharaoh, Materiality
Tier Three - Danzig Moon, Bolo, Dortmund, Carpe Diem

Win bets on the big prices, Heavy exactas 1/1,2 and reversed.  A little lighter exactas keying the bombers DM and Bolo.  and probably Tri\'s in some sort of 1/1,2/1,2,3, 1,2/1/1,2,3, 1,2,3/1,2/1 pattern.. A few superfecta lotto\'s in there with these 9, but I usually don\'t get too crazy with them.

[Furious Pete]

I\'m on Materiality as well, the price just seems too big for a horse who has done nothing wrong so far, has a good draw in a race where the toughest competitors are doomed to be losing a lot of ground, a good jockey as you say and for me it\'s also additional value that the Florida Derby seemed much less impressive to the public than it actually was. I don\'t want to give to much emphasis to the TG-figure of 4 in the debut either when handicapping this pattern as it was on sloppy ground, 6 furlongs and Materiality won very easily anyway. Of course this is the derby and not very many of them will run to their true capabilities but at 12/1 I think it\'s a very good bet in a competitive race with a lot of factors that makes this years edition a very interesting one, betting-wise.

[jack72906]

A- Dortmund, Frosted
B- American Pharoah, Firing Line
C- Carpe Diem, Bolo, Danzig Moon, Upstart, Mubtahiij

Sleeper running late-Keen Ice and Frammento

[Tavasco]

Concentration is my key to results straight Trifecta - AP/Mub/CD

[justwin]

a. upstart/frosted/AP
b. Materiality/mubtahij/Danzig/Dortmund/Bolo

playing my supers a/a/b/b total $180.

Upstart to win, frosted as a backup win play

[reboundman]

Dortmund is my main key, over/under Mub, Firing Line, Frosted, Upstart. Whole slew of others in 3rd and 4th.

[Box]

Top line horses are 2-10-18
ONLY underneath 14 - 21

[dcost328]

Has Materiality looked better than he did earlier in week? Thought he was getting knocked for looking washed out and not the way you\'d want him to look heading into Sarurday?

[toppled]

American Pharoah & Dortmund are my keys
Futures Win bet on AP @ 8/1
Exactas 8,18/10,15,19        
10,15,19/8,18
Tris: Multi times: 8,18/8,10,15,18,19/8,10,15,18,19 (24 combinations), Saving with 8,18 in 1 &2, 1 &3 and 2& 3 spots with all for $1 (108 combinations).
Supers using 8,18 in win spot with 8,18 in 3 other spots with 2,9,10,15,19,21 in the 2 remaining spots of each superfecta.(180 combinations)
DD into 12th 8,18/4
P3s(11-13) 8,18/4/4,6,7,8,9,10,11

[P-Dub]

A- Upstart,Firing Line
B- Carpe Diem, Dortmund, AP,
C- Bolo, Materiality, Mubtaahij, Frosted

Will play some type of combo keying A on top.  Carpe Diem is a horse I like today also, may move him to the A tier also. But right now this is what I like.

[jwbcardinals]

Tri

Frosted/CarpeDiem
Frost/CD/Dort/Upstart
Those 4 + AP/Danzig/It\'s/Bolo

[kencbs]

Key horses - Bolo, Frosted
Major plays - Dortmund, Carpe Diem
On the back end - Frammento

[alydar61]

It\'s all about Frosted!

[Lost Cause]

Dortmund just seems like the one with the great post draw while everyone else drew pretty ugly if you ask me.  Might be forced to rate a little but he seems to be the kind of horse that just doesn\'t get tired so if he breaks well and is close up to an average pace I just think he grinds them into the ground at the end.  Frosted and Carpe Diem are my others to use.  PP draws pulled me off them being my A\'s