Lame Question.......Belmont.....

[SoCalMan2]

What probability would people assign to a horse winning the Belmont other than American Pharaoh, Materiality, or Frosted?

I am alive in lots of different horizontals to those three....am trying to figure if it makes sense to run a pick 3 on the last races with a non-top three horse in the Belmont as insurance/hedge.