Time to add one more rule to the list...

[Leamas57]

In the last few weeks of capping, I have performed some post mortems (too many, frankly) to see what I missed, why I lost. On several occasions, a lightly raced horse jumped up and beat me or broke up my vertical bets.  When I looked closer, I discovered it was the most expensive horse in the race.  

Rule: never completely toss the most expensive horse in the race if it\'s lightly raced. Guess who was the most expensive horse in the Preakness? The reason I accept the rule is somewhat based on science: the market recognizes potential in constitution and breeding, etc., so as with the efficient market theory in finance, the money or price is one early assessment.

Leamas

[P-Dub]

Leamas57 Wrote:
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> In the last few weeks of capping, I have performed
> some post mortems (too many, frankly) to see what
> I missed, why I lost. On several occasions, a
> lightly raced horse jumped up and beat me or broke
> up my vertical bets.  When I looked closer, I
> discovered it was the most expensive horse in the
> race.  
>
> Rule: never completely toss the most expensive
> horse in the race if it\'s lightly raced. Guess who
> was the most expensive horse in the Preakness? The
> reason I accept the rule is somewhat based on
> science: the market recognizes potential in
> constitution and breeding, etc., so as with the
> efficient market theory in finance, the money or
> price is one early assessment.
>
> Leamas

Mud = Chaos.

That may be another reason long shots hit the board.

[metroj]

Getting a dream trip on the rail for most of the race didn\'t hurt either.

[beazley]

Verve was entered to pick up the pieces.  No shot to win of course.  He figured to be alone at back of pack and get a dream trip. His late pace figs were best in field.  Mud moved him up as well.

[P-Dub]

metroj Wrote:
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> Getting a dream trip on the rail for most of the
> race didn\'t hurt either.

Horses with speed make their dream trips.

[Leamas57]

Truth is, it was a great ride by Rosario. Borelesque.

[metroj]

Leamas57 Wrote:
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> Truth is, it was a great ride by Rosario.
> Borelesque.

Yep, great ride by Castellano as well.