Arlington Thursday race 8

Started by dodie, September 04, 2014, 08:16:04 AM

Previous topic - Next topic

dodie

OK boys, Delmar and \'toga are over.  Let\'s do a little pre-weekend \'cappin\' and see what we come up with.  I got da sheets for the 8th at AP, a \'lil starter allowance on the toif atta mile.  Bottom line:

8 Hapman is a 9yo last out winner 3rd off a layoff for Charles Livesy, 23 26 39 8.04 the last 90 days.  Dats hittin\'@ 26% with 23 starters for an ROI of 8!!!  Dude is hittin\' only 9% 3rd LO, but @ 6/1 I\'ll take my shot.  horse has run 3 off top and 1 off top, but I\'m hopin\' he\'ll once again mow \'em down in da stretch. There\'s a little speed signed up widda 4,7,10 11, 12, so I hope da pace is there.
 
6 Dynamic Royal, 7/2 ML is the most likely winner, but at the prices I\'m gonna take a shot with \'Hap.  Me & Dynamic Royal have a bit of history.  Specifically, going into the Breeder\'s Cup Betting Challenge monthly final on 25 May.  Top 6 get entries into the bettin\' challenge at SA, and I\'m actually in the runnin\' after hittn\' with 3/1 shot Natalie Victoria in the 11th at Mth.  I figure I need about $20 to make it in the top 6.  My prime play at AP in the 8th and final race contest is 3/1; not enough.  I\'m playin\' at the racebook at Green Valley and I hop on the trusty Iphone, change my bet to my 3rd choice Dynamic Royal who\'s sittin\' at 6/1, and hope for the best.  Israel saves all the ground, weaves between horses, and gets up for a one length victory.  Check out the results at bcqulify.com for 25 May.  I\'m John D. from Henderson, NV.  I actually finished 5th.

Round out your exotics with the 1,3,2,4,5, in that order of preference.

Using BRIS PP\'s, here are my other picks:
*R1:  key the 1 in multi races; save a \'lil widda 3.
R2: 3 2 6 5 not a good bettin\' race
*R3: key the 6 then 4 in multi races.  Fill ur exotics out with the  3 then 5.
R4:  5 4 over the 7 3.  not a good betting race.
R5: 5 2 1 4 ; not a good betting race.
*R6:  4 3 9 2 1; focus on the 3 @ 20/1 ML and da 9 @ 15/1 ML and da 4 @ 8/1 ML fur shizzle.
R7: 1 2 5 7; bottom of exotics- 6 3 4.  Wager at your bankroll\'s peril.
R8:  8 6; 1 3 2 4 5 in ur exotics
R9: 1 8 2 5 7; toss the 6 in the bottm of ur exotics; BET AGAINST DA 3!

Any board guys gonna be at the bettin\' challenge?  You makin\' the trip, JB?  What kinda sweet deal you gonna give us on the sheets for BC? ;-)

Do die

TGJB

I will probably go to BC and play in the contest, don\'t remember if we had a deal last year or not.
TGJB

dodie

Being the coward that I am, I\'m going to play it with a goal of making it to the top 15 to get to the championship in January.  I figure I just need to a bit better than triple my $7.5 bankroll to guarantee a spot.  I know you like these live bankroll contests better than the win-place capped approach to the championship in Vegas.

moosepalm

TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I will probably go to BC and play in the contest,
> don\'t remember if we had a deal last year or not.


The far more interesting question is whether you\'ll be getting a deal or not.

Rick B.

moosepalm Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> The far more interesting question is whether
> you\'ll be getting a deal or not.

Jerry has given away thousands of dollars of free
product for other contests, and paid the shipping
costs, too, which ain\'t cheap via next day air with
all that weight.

The last deal made much more sense: free product, but
if you insist on hard copy, YOU pay for the shipping.

It\'s 2014, folks. Go paperless.

TGAB

Good call on Hapman--$10, not bad.
TGAB

RICH


Bet Twice

Good call but da grammar was painful to read....;)

dodie


moosepalm

Rick B. Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> moosepalm Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > The far more interesting question is whether
> > you\'ll be getting a deal or not.
>
> Jerry has given away thousands of dollars of free
> product for other contests, and paid the shipping
> costs, too, which ain\'t cheap via next day air
> with
> all that weight.
>
> The last deal made much more sense: free product,
> but
> if you insist on hard copy, YOU pay for the
> shipping.
>
> It\'s 2014, folks. Go paperless.

That wasn\'t what I was discussing.  This \"deal\" has nothing directly to do with Thorograph.

dodie

My attempt at humor to get a little response.  I\'ll use proper English from here on out.
Do Die

Rick B.

moosepalm Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> That wasn\'t what I was discussing.  This \"deal\"
> has nothing directly to do with Thorograph.

Ah, then, thanks for almost making what you are
discussing seem less obscure.

TGJB

He\'s talking about the BC compensating me for inventing a contest which now handles 2.4M annually, and which I have received nothing for to date. Talks recently resumed on that subject.

On a related note. I heard a rumor another very big contest is in the works. It\'s something I proposed at the same time as the BC contest, but it\'s different people and as far as I know they came up with the format independently. Very TV friendly.
TGJB

Rick B.

TGJB Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> He\'s talking about the BC compensating me for
> inventing a contest which now handles 2.4M
> annually, and which I have received nothing for to
> date. Talks recently resumed on that subject.

Got it.

Steer clear of the Kentucky court system this time, you
might actually get a fair shake.

TGJB

You\'re an optimist. But at least I figure to come out of this net plus.
TGJB