ROTW

[JoseOcon]

Just reviewed ROTW analysis and numbers.  Liked the pattern, 4y0 vs. older horses, has been running in good races, at low odds... Sprint to route unknown, like the Sire (good numbers for routes).  Trainer ROI not the best, but it will be at good odds.  Will try it

[JoseOcon]

that\'s the pick

[sekrah]

Readtheprospectus stands out to me for value.

[sekrah]

Readtheprospectus stands out to me as the value if he\'s anywhere close to the ML.

[sekrah]

WH would need a new top going at a new distance?  Speightstown by a Wiseman\'s Ferry?  Don\'t see it.  This horse should have been moving forward last year and they were pissing around at 7f and turf races.

[Boscar Obarra]

That was amazing. Every inch possible on the wood, only way to win today.

[Rick B.]

If you knew just how good Zivo really is,
and how well Chad Brown is running right
now, ROTW was handing out Christmas presents
early.

$600+ trifecta, almost $4K super, with a $5
horse on top -- what? In New York?

Nice job, gents.

[wrongway]

I don\'t get it. A literal read of ROTW and analysis leads only to ripped up tickets.

[Tavasco]

Yep!

[Rick B.]

wrongway Wrote:
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> I don\'t get it. A literal read of ROTW and
> analysis leads only to ripped up tickets.

Sorry, I should have mentioned that you usually
have to ignore whatever TG says about the favorite,
and use him in savers.

Loyal ROTW readers know TG HATES favorites, going
all the way back to when Cain was -250 v. Abel.

[sekrah]

So where was your ROTW analysis posted on this? (Before the race began ofcourse)

[Rick B.]

sekrah Wrote:
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> So where was your ROTW analysis posted on this?
> (Before the race began ofcourse)

Huh? Why did I need to post anything? I\'m
not redboarding -- I merely thanked TG for
*their* work. Is that against the rules?

If one read the report thoroughly (and kept an
open mind), it wasn\'t impossible to come up
with the underneath horses, IMO.

Those that merely skipped to the \"Bottom Line\"
probably whiffed on the race, yeah.

Maybe we could ask TGJB to build all of our
ROTW tickets for us, too.

[sekrah]

It\'s not impossible to come up with the underneaths reading any of these ROTW analysis.

So Key Zivo and wheel the field underneath to hit the tri & super?  That\'s creative.

Prohibition - \"Strong shot here\"
Big Business - \"So there's good and perhaps some bad here, ambiguity, but the price is there.\"
Smooth Bert - \"This is a health horse, and he is a big price. Third? Fourth?\"
Zivo - \"Of course he could win, but he\'s no bargain as the favorite.\"
Awesome Vision - \"Not impossible\"
Readtheprospectus - \"Contender\"
Weekend Hideaway - \"Not impossible.\"
Bernardo - \"Have to think a bounce or a pair-up is the best one can expect which leaves this colt on the fence. The price is there for those with a more roseate read.\"
The Hard Land - \"He'll be running late and maybe that gets him a piece\"


Thank you, it\'s clear to me now.  Wheel the field minus two or three easy throwouts.  Who knew horse racing could be so easy?

[Rick B.]

What separates the men from the boys in this
game is the BETTING, not the handicapping.

I use FAR more horses for 3rd and 4th than
anyone else I know, and when I hit something
pretty decent, my cohorts are usually bitching
about the slob horse that busted them out.

Barry Meadow said it best: you MUST use
more horses in the lesser slots, because
even \"Living Filth\" can stumble home for 3rd.

(For 4th place, I stringently require four
legs, a tail, and a pulse.)

Besides, the ROTW analyst *did* issue a caveat at
the end, opining that this was a wide open race.
Did you miss that?

[P-Dub]

Rick,
We read ad nauseum before the KD and Preakness that CC wasn\'t value because the races were wide open. Those that used him on top were rewarded when prices came underneath.

Yes, the fav was useable if you structured prices under. But that wasn\'t the strategy listed.

This race is similar. Wide open race, favorite not a toss but an underlay. I played 2 super tickets, keying the fav on top and also the second place finisher on top. Hit the super, missed a much bigger one on the wire and despite cashinga nice ticket felt like I lost.
 
I think the issue is you said the rotw was handing out money. That wasn\'t the case. It absolutely helped, if as you said you constructed a ticket properly. To say it was Christmas was a bit of an exaggeration.