Wait and See on the Weather

Started by Silver Charm, May 15, 2014, 08:35:18 AM

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Silver Charm

80% chance of rain in Florida today. It didn\'t rain (a little) and doesnt look like it will much either. No doubt there is front of rain that is moving slowly and more from the south to the northeast instead of the usual west to east. How this hits Baltimore, moves through and at what intensity level I think is all questionable. I mean seriously we had projections of 1.75 inches of rain and it didn\'t. This may not be as dire as the original Friday forecast was. Let hope so because the Card is pretty good and for Saturday all those races need to stay on the Turf....including other locations like Mth and Bel

http://www.weather.gov/Radar

TreadHead

Silver, the bulk of the rain in that system was not coming from the south, it came from the midwest and dumped plenty of rain on us the last 24 hours.  There are both flash flood and coastal flooding watches for Baltimore tomorrow, and I doubt they would issue those things lightly.

Issued by The National Weather Service
Baltimore/Washington, MD
Thu, May 15, 2014, 10:13 AM EDT

... FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MARYLAND... NORTHERN MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN CENTRAL MARYLAND... ANNE ARUNDEL AND PRINCE GEORGES. IN NORTHERN MARYLAND... HARFORD... NORTHERN BALTIMORE AND SOUTHERN BALTIMORE. IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND... CHARLES.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS AND ALONG SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
&&

jerry

Right. Black Eyed Susan Day will be a complete wash out. Hopeful rain ending early Friday night and Saturday breezes keep some of those races on the turf.

TreadHead

FWIW the chance of rain tonight and tomorrow is now 100% there

richiebee

The impolitic thing to say would be to go to Ragozin where they have it sunny and
clear, Vito says he doesn\'t care where they get the information and Ken Sherman has links to 30 weather related articles.

TGJB

TGJB

Michael D.

if we don\'t hear back from Silver Charm it\'s because a monsoon just hit south Fla and he might not even be alive.

vp612

Richiebee,don\'t ever think I am stupid because you are making a very big mistake.

Silver Charm

You guys are brutal. Until you see Jim Cantore of The Weather Channel standing in knee deep water in Annapolis with a rain coat hoody on and a microphone in his hand its not \"Official\".

Just now per The Weather Channel they are backing off a little. 5,000 foot winds will calm the storms violence in the only place we care about, Baltimore. There will be some rain but not a holocaust. Areas south like Raleigh getting hit pretty good now. 15 minutes of rain or 15 hours of rain still count as 100% chance it rained. And they are indicating it may be cleared out and further north by the morning.

Predicting a \"Good\" Track for the Pimlico Special not Swamp.;-)

TGJB

He didn\'t say you are stupid, he\'s basically quoting you. You have made it clear you take Jake figures at face value whether they make sense or not and ask no questions. If I\'m wrong about that show me.
TGJB

richiebee

Vito, I was joking. How can I call you \"stupid\" when I think you are batting one
thousand on this board?

I can outstupid anyone on either board so I can\'t cast the first stone anyway.

Good luck on Saturday, sorry you took the comment the wrong way.

richiebee

Silver I love your optimism. You kind of remind me of the commercial which shows
two guys on the porch of a golf clubhouse during a downpour. They keep saying
stuff like \"its letting up\" or \"the sky is getting brighter over there\".

Does your good track/Pimlico Special prediction mean there is any chance for turf
racing Friday?

richiebee

According to Accuweather there is now a gale warning in effect from 6PM until
midnight Friday. I guess this only matters if you are having your pre Preakness
party near the water.

vp612


vp612

You are the one who is saying they don\'t make sense.I use them because I believe they give ME the best chance to win.