Preakness Wise-Guy Horse

Started by Silver Charm, May 14, 2012, 06:57:58 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

Silver Charm

Gotta be Creative Cause right! I actually believe Bode will be luke warm on the Board!!

jimbo66

Silver,

What is \"lukewarm\"?

Bode will be less than 2-1.  I will take book on that.

Bode 8-5
I\'ll Have Another 3-1
Went the Day Well 6-1
Creative Cause 8-1

plasticman

Bode might be closer to even money. Ever since the Derby, all you\'ve heard is how great Bode\'s performance was how it was an \'epic\' race considering the pace, etc.

Also, the entire world is convinced that the only reason Bode lost is because of a horse (Trinn) who is bypassing the Preakness. All systems go, Bode is going to get bet like we havent seen in quite some time, he\'s going to be bet like he\'s a sure thing imo and no doubt the person or syndicate who dumped the million dollar bet on Bode will be right back to try and get that million back.

I\'d be shocked if Bode paid close to 6 bucks to win, i\'m thinking closer to 4.

boston

They are making book offshore -

I\'ll Have Another to win Preakness

Yes +352
No -420

RICH

I don\'t like the lines on Bode or creative cause at all, have to look elsewhere

justwin

Rich, can you add why you don\'t like the lines. i\'m curious to why on Creative Cause. He seems to be circling back to his top. Bode, I understand who backed up off a top and is running back on short rest.

drbillym

I don\'t know about circling back to a top on Creative Cause, looks like they have squezzed the lemon dry on this guy.

sixmoreouts

One thing I like about Creative Cause is that the one \"bad\" or \"off\" race he has showing is the one race where you could question how much they were really gunning for a win that day. (SA Derby)

Silver Charm

I agree and there was subsequent experimenting with equipment and.....the horse who beat him by like a neck in the SA Derby WON the Derby!!

touchgold

Well, if you recall harringtons comments about how creative cause doesnt like to run between horses, I guess you can expect another wide trip.....the trip he got in louisville was awful....6-8 wide around the whole track.

RICH

Hey Justwin

The way I look at the line is he ran 5 nice races as a 2yr, good numbers, started fast, ended the same. Nice first at 3, and a hidden race, nice number next out, big 4 pt top on short rest with the bo/bi, that\'s a problem for me. Understandably he bounces next out. That derby number is an effort to me, the buried race is nice, I just think this horse on short rest off a secondary top (effort) is a definite play against. I think I would have liked it better if he ran the 0, which would have signalled to me at least that the 0 didn\'t hurt to much, and a forward move was coming. I see an off/x here, rest him several months and bring him back for later summer, but that\'s me

touchgold

"He doesn't like to be crowded," said Harrington of Creative Cause. "In deep stretch (in the Santa Anita Derby), those horses were crowding him

so, basically, he will instruct rosario again to stay wide and he will have to be tons the best....unless  the rail becomes wide open at the right time, which is doubtful.

TGJB

Me, I\'m wondering how much sleep the horse got on his TWO cross country flights in the 2 weeks since the Derby...
TGJB

touchgold

"He was pretty much himself this morning," Harrington said, per The Form.

"I think he's got his mojo back," Harrington added. "If the flight takes it out of him, we'll have to see."

Harrington worried also....I think he may be on the brink of ruining this horse.

justwin

he hates the whip also but i am not playing bode or iha unless the odds float up to 4-1. cc has beaten bode and just missed against iha in the sa derby, ran the same number in the ky derby as the winner & the odds seem right. i do like the line on wtdw with a small new top in the ky derby. will need another 1-2 pt jump forward to win though. have not seen the non derby horses lines yet.