Quality Road's Post Position

Started by jbelfior, November 02, 2010, 12:47:48 PM

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TGJB

Miff-- I\'m sure YOU know that in 22 years, with on average field of 18 or so, the average result would have the rail winning once, and there\'s probably at least a 30% chance that figure would be zero, randomly. And that\'s without looking at the horses who started from the rail.

But you knew that.
TGJB

BitPlayer

Will that still apply to the Classic, where no auxiliary gate will be necessary, so they could move the main gate out?

bellsbendboy

Not at all \"Bit\".  Mike gets all juiced up, like many of us on big race days and got to the closing arguments before presenting a solid case.  Nevertheless, his premise is accurate as the rail, at CD, traveling ten poles is as bad a post as there is.

Although, if you reduce the field size; the disadvantage is not as serious, as team TAP (three for a million at the BC) rather weakly, and repeatedly, has pointed out since the draw.

For Quality Road who has more number power than these, admittedly over his kind of track(s) he is still a tough bet even at twice his morning line, which he will be.  The last time he saw this amazon beast eye to eye, he freaked at the gate at some twenty to one and had to be ordered off.

There is some fifteen hundred feet before the turn and if JV gets this one to

shutoff, get in the clear, and behave it will be a solid accomplishment, then he

can start worrying about holding off the hundred year freak and a pair

of talented grinders in what is clearly going to be quick splits. bbb