Derby Picks

[MO]

Supah Blitz - money chance saving ground with a new top

Brancusi - Scary - must use, doubt he will win.

INSTANT KARMA GOT TABOR,LOL

Atswhat - will pair again or bounce and not yet fast enough.

Peace Rules - Scary - more rest than Empire and drew better. Prado is the next Jerry Bailey. And deservedly so, as both are class acts and free of scandel.

DESPITE DOSAGE, HE RAN WELL.

Funny Cide - The most likely winner because he has a pattern than does not suggest a bounce, but a forward move. Horses are running faster these days and his best is very good yet very slow by todays standards, so I look for a forward move. He is a NY bred gelding that has yet to win in open company or at 2 turns which will drive his post time odds up higher than they should be when compared to his TG figs and the pace scenario, which are in his favor. This could be Santos\' career moment. A has been of the late 80\'s and early 90\'s, he has finally begun to mature and live up to his natural talent.
Tagg is a vet who like Whittingham, wouldn\'t show up without a legit chance. I like this horses chances, but I do not like the horse. In fact, this is a pathetic field not worthy of a 2 sentence spread at the bottom of the sports page. But there is a very good chance that the Derby will produce box car mutuals this year, and this is the key horse who has the dosage.

STORYBOOK ENDING... TC winner in a bad crop? Lets go NY!!!!!!!!!!!!

Offlee Wild - Doubtful - best won\'t do it and Day is off the horse.

Buddy Gil - Scary - a lock if on turf. Stevens won\'t hesitate to use ......very scary. Fast enough to win.

SERVES GS RIGHT...

Indian Express will bounce - by all conventional handicapping methods......

Lone Star hasn\'t got a prayer

Domestic - doubtful - runs wide, abandoned by Bob - not worth the risk

TOLD YA SO on all 3

Empire Maker will bounce and might cause an accident. Bailey won\'t get any sleeep tonight and the horse drew poorly, though not impossibly. However, If Frankle is right and not just kissing up to the hype, and Bailey has enough confidence, this horse might be on the board and has a chance - an outside chance at a low price - to win. Can\'t bet seriously to win but might make the super which will kill the price.

GOOD SHOW!!, BUT LOOKS TO BE OVER THE TOP

Eye and Ten Cents don\'t belong in the race. Lets hope they get left at the rediculous auxilary gate. (The field should be restricted to 14)

Outa Here - Doubt it.

10 Most Wanted - will bounce. (And by the way- get off P Day\'s case about Christianity already.

TOLD YA SO - and get off PD about Christianty!!!!!!!!

Scrimshaw is Scary - just back to his top and could run a new top. Post sucks. That\'s what I said in \'95.

............CAN\"T WIN (Cheat) em all Wayne......SERVES YOU RIGHT!



Post Edited (05-03-03 20:12)

[bdhsheets]

I kinda like Peace Rules. He seems to run other horses into the ground. Hope he has enuff to last the 10 panels.

Brancusi for a slice, nice line.

Buddy Gil, nope. already ran 3 big ones and as in baseball three strikes and you\'re out.

Indian Express emphesema kicks in down the lane.

ATS and Domestic: if you like one you have to like the other. similar figs, is it a floor or ceiling? Right now ceiling, both run wide on the turns, perhaps footsie or other problems which haven\'t shown up.

Empire: I believe he wasn\'t fooling around in the Wood, his hoof is bugging him, not at a short price.

T-Graph jinx horses who have run a sub 6.0 as 2yo\'s (none has hit the board YET in the Derby)
Scrimshaw 2.75
Outta Here 2.75
Lone Star Sky 4.5........5.75
Funny Cide 3.5
Supah Blitz 4.25 x 2

10 cents a Shine sloooooow before toothache
Eye of the Silliness if a son of a Phone Trick mare beats me in this gimmick I QUIT!!!! lol

Ten Most Wanted another ugly top, might get a slice.

Offlee Wild: Derby gods won\'t let the name win, lol. The best thing that happened to him was his illness. He was rolling out of control early in the year a 3 followed by a 2. The Keeneland effort was a needed tightner. pedigree says he can run all day. A move forward past the 2.0 is very possible and into the exotics he flies.

Brancusi & Offlee at 30-1 are live bombers to light it up!

[big ant]

        EM is 4-1 right now does that make him more or less attractive ,I think that price is a real a beautiful thing.Brancusi @ 28-1 is also a real beautiful thing.exacta box tri keys kids