Bay Shore

Started by albany, April 02, 2010, 03:48:16 PM

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albany

I believe the Bay Shore may be a betting opportunity because the Contessa entry will be seriously overbet. Both want the engine. If they both go (not that likely), they cook each other. If one goes (most likely 85ina50), the other is compromised. The seemingly stronger part of the entry, 85ina50, is a single figure  6f maiden breaker who must go from the wood. The addition of the hood will only ensure that he will be pressing from the inside at a distance he hasn\'t proven he can handle. The NY bred  Casteneda, the other part of the entry, is on the improve, but must either rate (something he hasn\'t done successfully) or face the speed of his stablemate at a distance he has to prove he can handle.

Another entrant who will draw attention is Raynick\'s Jet. This NY bred improved dramatically with the addition of blinkers. He appears to be a slow breaker who has only beaten his fellow statebreds at 6f. He is also a bounce candidate off his last.

I think anything approaching 3-1 would be an overlay on Hurricane Ike. He has run in several graded stakes and has a running style and post that fits this 7 furlong race perfectly. He ran well in his return and that race was followed by 2 very good works. The 3/23 work in 45 3/5 was a sparkler (2/375 since 3/23). One race, two works and a flight to NY. John Sadler is, as Woody Stephens would say, \"coming for a reason, not the season.\"

Silver Charm

Man this is a weak field. Nonetheless it si a $200K Graded Stakes on Wood Day so I must bet it.

Watched the replay of the 2 in his last and he was under a hammer lock, moved smartly on the turn and is a decent price.