Dosage is REALLY REALLY REALLY dead this time...

JohnTChance · May 02, 2009, 05:03:17 PM

One good thing about the 2009 Kentucky Derby results is that \"Dosage\" is now officially dead. What\'s that? You thought it was dead already? Nope. The Daily Racing Form STILL insists on including a third-of-a-page \"explanation\" of the system in it\'s Derby edition, indicating that the powers that be there believe it relates to something having to do with the sport of horse racing in the year 2009! Incredible.

There was only one horse in the Derby field whose Dosage Index was above 4.00, and he won going away! MINE THAT BIRD\'s number was a whopping 5.40.

JohnTChance

TGJB · May 02, 2009, 05:11:14 PM

Pretty funny. Of course, his TG figures were just as funny. Pattern yes, fast noooo.

firmturf · May 02, 2009, 05:26:36 PM

But if I told you he would go 1w 1w in the turns, would you have thrown him on a ticket? I guess you could have considering the faster ones were parked in some bad posts.

The only analysis I can use after the fact is that I would need everyone to go backwards a touch, then get hung wide while he saves ground.

Oh, and Calvin has to thread not one but two needles! (That replay is amazing!)

BB · May 02, 2009, 05:34:17 PM

While this won\'t kill dosage or figures, it should elevate ground loss to the ranks of the immortals (if it wasn\'t there already).

JR · May 02, 2009, 06:10:40 PM

His win was more than about saving ground. He ran by horses who had also saved ground. He was just faster than the others today. It was a freakish race. The weirdest Derby I\'ve ever seen.

Boscar Obarra · May 02, 2009, 06:25:07 PM

This is pure red boarding but a degenerate spreader COULD have used the horse if only because the rail had appeared to have some juice and Borel is , well, Borail.

Had to be a serious degenerate to have him on top, but if you invest enough in a \'chaos\' tickets, some on them can be pure boxes.

Other than that, a crazy Derby where 1 horse ran and 18 didn\'t. Simple as that.

jumpnthefire · May 02, 2009, 06:33:34 PM

lmao thats exactly what happend with my ticket dont know what red boarding is but i assume it means posting after the race picks

BB · May 02, 2009, 06:44:19 PM

You are right JR. The winner ran his mile in about 1:39 1/5 and his last quarter in abut 23 3/5. He was running faster while everybody else was slowing down, no doubt about it. He was completely relaxed while everybody else was dashing off towards the first turn. He got through those gaps before they knew what hit \'em. Another great Derby ride by Borel, obviously. A 1w/1w move without any loss of momentum.

chrifron · May 02, 2009, 07:46:05 PM

Don\'t worry--the dosage people will re-classify MTB six months from now and claim Birdstone\'s lineage has a chef-de-race that they missed--then they will be able to say that the horse fit on dosage afterall. (don\'t laugh-they have done it in the past)

While we\'re at it, Beyer will go back and recalculate the Sunland Derby final BSF.

Didn\'t Giacomo run a 5 on TG going into the Derby? Who knew?

Leamas57 · May 03, 2009, 08:06:07 AM

My own post-mortem/hindsight/looking in the rearview mirror goes like this:

\"I missed the Smart Strike dam side. I loved Summer BIRD (6th) but passed on MTBIRD even though it bothered me that Borel was on him. Sunland was very unkind to closers and any lightly-raced three year-old can \"wake up.\" How many times am I looking for a lightly-raced colt with bloodlines at a price and a decent jockey?\"