CH

Started by TGJB, March 11, 2009, 10:42:32 AM

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TGJB

Astoundingly enough, there are a couple of posts on the Ragozin board today worth reading. Even more astoundingly (maybe), they come from someone who is (and will continue to be) barred from here.

Our old friend (read pain in the butt) Class Handicapper, who in the post says he can be repetitive (NO!!!) and gets criticized for it (well, yeah...), discusses the synthetic/dirt figure issues at some length. Some of the things he says are similar to things I and others have said on this site, some I disagree with, and all of it is not news to those who read his posts here. But it is a fairly cogent and tight discussion of exactly the isues we have been discussing here this week.
TGJB

TGJB

CH-- saw your post on the other board. Come back, all is forgiven.

Just kidding. (Relax, Jimbo).

Only you would think the problem is that you weren\'t given enough of a chance to state your case(s). You were barred because you WOULD NOT STOP stating your case, no matter what anyone else was trying to talk about. This was true the first time I barred you, it was true when I let you post again under another name, it was true when I warned you to knock it off or you would get barred again.

Nice posts today on the Rag board, but you win the Chutzpah award.
TGJB

jimbo66

What is the world coming to?  Citi\'s stock at $1, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers out of business, now JB is posting compliments to Class.  

Can an engraved invitation to Chuckles the clown to rejoin be far off?

It is an interesting post by Class on the Rags board.  And the fact that Len took the time to write a detailed response signals that this is an issue he is uncomfortable with as well.  His MO on his board is to post as if his words came down on tablets from Mt. Sinai,  And he always posts with 100% conviction and certainty.

Interesting that Class touches on the mini-thesis posted here by JB the other day.  That horses get some kind of conditioning edge from training and racing on the synthetics that allows the \"huge jump up\" first time dirt.  I can buy that.  But why that \"conditioning edge\" would then lead the horses to tank forever after that, makes much less sense to me.

TGJB

Jimbo-- I wouldn\'t be holding my breath waiting for the second coming (actually third) of CTC.

Yeah, I had been thinking about that training angle also the last couple of days. Horses training at Hollywood definitely are less likely to run well at SA.

I\'m waiting for people to list some more of the explosions, then I\'ll post sheets for them. It\'s pretty remarkable.
TGJB

covelj70

Believe it not, the person who first pointed out to me the issue that training on the synthetics produced fitness was, of all people, Bianconne.  I had posted that whole concept on the board this time last year if anyone remembers.  Turns out the snake man was onto something.

NoCarolinaTony

Dickinson been doing it for years.......

NC Tony

Caradoc

Jerry, one example is Monterey Jazz, entered today in the feature at SA.  I\'m referring to his race at Lone Star last April.

Cartman

I believe Montery Jazz is the type of speed horse CH was referring to in one of his bullet points. He ran his huge new top at LS on dirt after showing extreme speed and one good figure running on synthetic in long routes. So by his theory double improvement was likely. Part would be due to the the so called figure compression issue and part from the running style disadvantage on synthetic. He ran poorly in NY on dirt coming off a layoff related to some physical issues, but has since returned to turf and synthetic. This horse might be a very good test case. I would love to see what this horse would do if he caught another weak field at one mile on real dirt.

TGJB

I\'ve got Monterey Jazz, Heatseeker, Gayego, Black Seventeen, Arson Squad and Tough Tiz\'s Sis as horses who jumped way forward coming off synthetic. I\'m looking for othetrs, whether they have collapsed afterward or not.

I\'m not convinced that training on all synthetics gets them fitter. Bruno De Julia has been pushing this fitness angle for at least a year now, and from observation I don\'t think it applies to Hollywood. I do think it applies to SA and DMR. Don\'t know about Kee, AP etc.
TGJB

TGJB

Cart-- I think you are too quick to give this horse a pass for the NYRA Mile, where he was favored, and ran almost 9 points off his top. (And nobody was saying my Cal figures were off). I don\'t think they would have shipped him cross country to run in a GI if they did not think he was okay.

But yeah, it\'s possible at some point he\'ll come around again.
TGJB

Cartman

I bet against him in that race, but at the time I recall he was working extremely well. I could see someone making the case that he should have run a lot better than that. I don\'t understand what the connections are doing with him now. I would be looking for a soft stakes spot on dirt at 8 or 8 1/2 furlongs. Maybe he has bad feet.

firmturf

How about Peace Chant that ran on dirt 2.14.09 at Tup?

Unsure what he got in that dirt race as he has not run back.

covelj70

JB, there was a colt who won on Oaks day last year in one of the stakes that was coming from synthetic to first time dirt that stepped up huge to win.  I can\'t remember the horses name off the top of my head but he should fit into the list.

I remember the event well because I thought it was yet another reason to pound Col John in the Derby the next day as I expected a similar kind of move forward from him on the syn to dirt move.  In case anyone doesn\'t remember, that didn\'t work out that well for me.....

TGJB

Don\'t remember the other 3yos name, but CJ is another example of one not jumping on dirt.
TGJB

Kasept

Don\'t have her record handy, but I\'d guess MARYFIELD took advantage of the theory a number of times in her huge West to East performances at Saratoga, Monmouth and Churchill...
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