Tops and Bounces, relatively speaking

Started by Dr. Fager, August 10, 2008, 05:58:37 PM

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Dr. Fager

To TGJB and the Board: Do you have data or an opinion if bounces occur, or are more pronounced, with horses who generally run lower numbers than horses who generally run higher numbers.  That is, are faster horses more likely to bounce than slower horses. It would seem to me that horses who have the ability to run a zero or better, would be more susceptible to bounce than horses who can only run a 12 or an 18 as their best performance.  Also, what factor is the distance in a bounce. Does a horse who runs a top at 5 furlongs have the same propensity to bounce as a horse who runs a top at 1 1/8 miles?