The Holy Bull

[JEB]

Love to hear what people think of this race.

So far, the 3yo fields have been pretty deep and pretty balanced. The Sham came up short in horses but the holy bull is not.

Here is what I think:

Barbaro: What do you do with this one? The highweight ran a big 2yo # on the turf and if he can make the change, he could be the standout. Dynaformers are stronger on turf.

Itsallaboutthechase: Ran big in the Aventura and has continued an ascending pattern. Poor post in a big field, off 27 days.

Doctor Decherd:  As a 2yo, he bounced terribly after a big#. Drew a nice post but do not like the prior pattern.

Flashy Bull: consistent pattern but has never moved forward enough to get to the point that he is competitive. I am watching for this one in the FOY.

Sunriver: Lightly raced horse, full to Ashado, Pletcher, getting weight from the fav\'s. Has not moved back yet. Two good runs at 9F. 8/1, I like!!!

Hemingway\'s Key: Paid a fair amt for this son of notebook. Part of a deep Zito bench. A couple points forward gets him close. Gets 6 pounds from the highweight. Live longshot.

Big Lover: Did not embarass himself at 43-1 in the Aventura and he is not that much slower then most horses in here. Pattern is fair but did back up after a bigger # as a 2yo. Bottom of the exotics.

Fagan\'s Legacy: did not like in the Aventura and do not like him now. Too slow.

Saint Augustus: Finished 2yo campaign with a nice # to go forward from but bounced horribly to start 3yo campaign. Need to see more first for me to back.

My Golden Song: liked this horse for the Aventura at 7/1. Seems a little slow with this group. Johnnie V picked this one over Sunriver though.

Rehoboth: bad post and 3rd race of the year already. Ran a lifetime best 17 days ago in a sprint beating Fabled. I am not expecting a big run here.

Park Avenue Prince: terrible post but a nice pattern. Gets Dominguez. Needs to move forward. Watching this one down the road.

 Analysis: Favorites do not appear invulnerable to me. I think Hemingway\'s Key has a good chance to move forward at a nice price. I like him and i am boxing him with Sunriver. I will add in Barbaro and Itallboutthechase for my Tri-Box

any other opinions?

Thanks
john b

[HP]

If Barbaro really gets bet down here I would have to go against him.  I don\'t like Dr. Decherd either.  My problem is that leaves me five contenders -- Big Lover, Sunriver, Hemingway\'s Key, Flashy Bull and My Golden Song.  We\'ll see what the board says...  Right now I favor Flashy Bull and Sunriver a little, and My Golden Song has a tough post for the top spot...  

Good luck.  HP

[Kasept]

HP,

Am with you 80%... Am only subbing the \"other\" Pletcher for Golden Song. Bozier City race a toss for Augustus. Strange oval.

Steve

[shanahan]

I\'ll check in with Flashy Bull...patter, to me , suggests a new top in the near (today?) future...

I\'m not a big supporter of the analysis product, but checking the red board room for Oak yesterday, I was pleased to see I actually had the same picks on 7 of the 10 races...may I ask who is doing OAK this year?