Have not posted in 3 years.

Kenny loves his Filly in the Oaks. But I\'m sure Mott loves his, Chad, Todd and Brad. She is training up a storm and the word is out on her so she will take money. He thinks she is a missle about to launch. His words directly to me!


Keep in mind it\'s a horse race. A big field and one stumble or split second wrong decision and tickets are being torn up. He also thinks he might do something in the Derby. I will visit that horses Dam on Thursday. Maybe I ask her...

Speaking of Thursday Carl Spackler is a bit of a head case. Seems only fitting. They think he is a MONSTER. But also may not like this Turf Course. At least if he loses that will he their excuse. Owner Bob Edwards flies in for the race and goes back home. He won\'t be staying for the Derby.

At 2-1 in a decent salty field this runner has zero value and is hardly a Cinderella Kid coming out of nowhere

https://youtu.be/bCYs8v0Xji4?si=pugocSfTaPeesrBL

statuette: Derby and oaks betting already available

johnnym: Good to hear from you..
Good Luck

Silver Charm: Johnny good hearing you. I encourage people to buy the Analysis and see their opinion. 15 years ago TODAY Rachel won by 20+. Now that was Cinch. There are no cinches in this race.

P-Dub: I loved that filly today, congrats to all that had her

toppled: \"She\'s a clear pick\" Jerry Brown in the Seminar.

I liked her before I got the seminar and even more afterwards.

Silver Charm: Boom!!!

statuette: Hopefully his derby horse does as well

mistermoose: Glad to see you back Silver. Kenny texted me that she was going to win. He is often very confident but after the seminar I was locked in on her.
Thanks to TGJB for upping the confidence level.  Now if it is
sloppy again Saturday we know who to key on.

Silver Charm: Confidence? Kenny? Well it\'s already on to the Preakness....

mistermoose: Haha.  Wouldn’t be that surprised unless Fierceness whistles. Swiss skydiver
part 2.

statuette: Thank you thank you

Silver Charm: TGJB how did this day shake out. Have not seen any changes at least on the Stakes so I guess you feel very satisfied with the figures?

Reason I asked it was very much a muddy mess that day. Dan fired at least what is right now a 3 point Isolated Top. some people could view the Derby as a half point recovery move back to that Top.  

There were a lot of horses (if not all of them I think the track was closed for 7-10 days) at Oaklawn because of the bad weather who could not train. The date of the race had been moved a week. Mystic Dan had been training at Fairgrounds and shipped in. Just Steel stayed at Oaklawn and after a solid moved got very tired in the stretch but held 2nd. JS bounced badly when wheeled back in 3 weeks. Dan off that big effort wisely passed and waited.

Dan did fire a 6 as a 2YO but that was going 5.5F. Since then he has been running strictly at a route. McPeek is 50% combined Top-Pair in races 11-29 days. No doubt he will wheel them back from time to time. He was a very tired horse after the Derby. But may not be today. What to do with him is the Key to the race. Asking for a friend....

nicely nicely: It’s right. I also did it with the routes on either side.

So they had these Preakness futures. I figured if Fierceness won I would want to fade him on two weeks rest, if he lost he wouldn’t go. Muth was the most likely winner, but no value. The only trainers of Derby contenders I could see that might come back on two weeks were McPeek and Lukas.

Anyway, I have MD at 45-1 and JS at 35-1. Not for enough.

On the other hand, I had Fierceness at 16-1, too.

Silver Charm: Interesting.

2nd-4th Place finishers went backwards at least TWO points. Common Defense is on the Farm now. Carbone went forward but that is about it. Even the Winner went backward 3 points with 8 weeks rest and he was training up to the race at FG!

Just Steel has gone 2-7-1 and then a 16 and now wheels back again. Easy Read...lol.

Congrats on those Preakness Futures Plays.