Travers Days since 2000

[Fairmount1]

I commented after my trip to Saratoga this meet that there are less wagering opportunities than ever.  I wondered if my comments were the product of me becoming a grumpy old man LOL.  After yesterday\'s Travers Day, I was convinced that the numbers would bear this out a bit.  So I did a little bit of work focusing on the biggest day only of Saratoga\'s meet since 2000.  Make of it what you want.  No warranties as I did this quickly and didn\'t \"double\" check my work but it is very close to accurate at worst.  21 winning favorites in 38 races the past 3 Travers Days (55%).

Travers Day, 2021.  Nine favorites won yesterday.  Two 2nd choices won yesterday.  13 races.  Field Size, 7.77.  Two consecutive years that average field size on Travers Day is under 8.  

Format didn\'t come out perfectly but if interested I think you can parse through it.  

 Year   Attndnc,   #Races,   #WinningFavs,    Avg Field Size
2000   54,116   10   4           10.50
2001   60,486   11   5           9.73
2002   43,153   11   6           7.91
2003   66,122   12   3           10.42
2004   48,894   11*   4           9.18
2005   42,841   12   2           8.75
2006   40,785   12   5           8.33
2007   38,909   12   6           10.25
2008   40,723   12   1           10.58
2009   34,221   13   5           7.92
2010   45,764   13   3           9.92
2011   43,050   13   3           9.77
2012   46,528   13   6           10.46
2013   47,597   14   5           10.43
2014   46,557   14   5           8.86
2015   50,000   13   6           9.15
2016   48,000   13   6           9.54
2017   47,725   13   4           8.31
2018   49,418   13   5           8.77
2019   48,213   13   6           9.00
2020*   0, n/a   12   6           7.25
2021   44,507   13   9           7.77

[HP]

I think you could substitute “any big race day anywhere” for “Saratoga Travers Day” and be correct, but seeing your chart for Travers Day is eye opening.

Kentucky Downs soon, that’s usually a good week. Breeders Cup can be okay too.

HP