WAR STORY

Dana666 · August 16, 2019, 07:29:09 AM

https://www.delmartimes.net/news/local-news/del-mar/story/2019-08-15/pacific-classic-del-mar-war-story-navarro-breeders-cup?fbclid=IwAR2Wtb9A31jMOQMqFvJOq7X9RaX_iGPzXNFA7N7F6NlnYlC-Ict365UM0Zk

The connections are very high on this guy Saturday. Do with that information what you will. Glenn and Navarro will be there in person, too. I haven\'t yet handicapped the race with sheets and pps, etc., but there doesn\'t seem to be any monsters in there. War Story\'s last win was super, and although the margin was small, the jock said he had a ton left and was only hand riding down at the finish. I think the morning line is a bit high. I think 4-1 or 5-1 is more likely and remember Glenn bets a ton, so maybe even lower, lol. I\'ve spoken to Glenn a few times, I don\'t know him well, but everything he touches turns to gold. He\'s probably the best gambler I\'ve ever seen. Good luck to all.

BitPlayer · August 16, 2019, 08:18:22 AM

That\'s the way I was leaning. Have to hope Seeking the Soul and Quip don\'t get back to their best. I wonder why they gave the mount to Pereira. Seems like there would have been better options in a million dollar race. Pavel is also a threat.

hellersorr · August 16, 2019, 08:39:58 AM

Apropos of . . . well, virtually nothing . . . I\'m still trying to figure out how the connections of Pavel\'s dam got her name approved.

johnnym · August 16, 2019, 11:28:19 AM

Being a synic here Navarro is not in his back yard

Dana666 · August 16, 2019, 11:36:15 AM

Well, his horses even ran well in Dubai (for several years now) without race day medication, so that\'s about as from his backyard as you can get!

Mike C · August 16, 2019, 11:46:22 AM

It would be a shock to me if any horse other than the four you mentioned win this race. It seems from the sheets that those 4 are way faster that all the others in the race, on top of that, except for War Story, all of the fast ones ran their top in their last, Quip\'s was a much faster number for him, a big jump in the number, but he has speed and will not have to be wide on either turn; Pavel and Seeking the Gold have never paired tops this fast.

War Story looks good to me. He has shown the ability to repeat his big efforts.
Not sure about the jockey switch, choosing to ignore and hope for the best.

I don\'t usually put too much stock in what an owner or trainer says before a race about how much they love their horse, I\'m sure he does and believes what he says, but the other trainers would say similar about their horses as well.

Good Luck

johnnym · August 16, 2019, 11:49:00 AM

Other than XY Jet any winners?

Dana666 · August 16, 2019, 12:42:33 PM

I\'m not sure. That\'s who I was thinking of though.

Dana666 · August 16, 2019, 12:49:59 PM

yeah, I get it. of course, they all like their horses\' chances, only difference is most don\'t bet what he bets in a day--i\'m guessing six figures a day easily, if not more. when he bets on his horses, it\'s a big deal, and you\'d better take notice

Silver Charm · August 16, 2019, 06:01:56 PM

Ran 2nd in BC Mile at DelMar with Sharp Aztecs I believe

johnnym · August 16, 2019, 06:42:00 PM

Yes he did I remember it well
Battle of Midway won

Mstrlucky74 · August 16, 2019, 06:42:43 PM

I\'m on the fence about Higher Power. I think he might be circling to a new dirt top. Anyone think so? Thanks

johnnym · August 17, 2019, 05:52:48 AM

Like a couple in hear
Quip: ran a new top last out then had 2 months to shake it Of
4 years old still maturing Has a 63% chance to run a new top or pair my #1
With a nice stalking trip behind the speed

Seeking the Soul:class of the race throw out the Mayden race solid horse beat Quip last out should have pace to run at

Mongolian Groom: Dont know much about the sire but he shows big improvement from 3-4 throw out the turf effort has a solid pattern finished second last out behind a beast.

Quip to win
Ex savor 5-9/2
Would not be surprised to see one of the bombers get a piece

Tri
2/5-9/1-5-8-9-10 wheel the 2 for second as well
GL
John

Dana666 · August 17, 2019, 08:11:00 AM

Well, I went over the race. Seems muddled, esp. from a pace point of view. Can\'t say I really have a strong opinion.

1-war story-repeat of last makes him tough; should get good trip too, legit contender if he can carry his race to west coast and hold his form which is no sure gamble--i always root for glenn his colorful owner

2-quip--obviously live; no excuse in last but one of the main runners in here, might be better stalking rather then on the speed?

3-pavel--fits in some context and o\'neil has been hot but I have a hard time see this ploddy beast capture this race--seems like a placing is realistic

4-for the top-why is he in this race?

5-seeking the soul-looks in fine shape and deserves favoritism status--hard to look past

6-higher power-in good shape anyway--seems a fringe contender to me--maybe throw in on some larger multi race exotics; but i actually think this guy would love more ground, so a definite maybe

7-tenfold-smith hops on but he would need to fire his best--at least he has won at 1 1/4 which NO OTHERS in here can say--strange right?

8-campaign-doing well but he\'s a ploddy beast--he\'s going to run by them all???

9-mongolian groom--seems slow and outside post too

10-draft pick-another i have a hard time making a case for

i\'ll spread in the multi-race exotics and hope to be alive for something--probably not playing the race

wrongly1 · August 17, 2019, 11:16:32 AM

Best of luck to you but Quip looks like the easiest toss in the race to me. Big jump up and major development since last year.

Navarro bothers me, pair up probably wins and has an even bigger figure last year to run back to. Might be worth a single. Pavel last is aided by being wide, if it wasn\'t that big maybe he has another forward move in him. Dallas might already be looking past this race, a slight regression then forward move in a BC prep would make him a major contender in the classic. Think the winner is one of those three.