Weather Chaos and other stuff...

[Niall]

As someone recently pointed out, track condition is going to be an enormous part of the conversation this weekend as it pertains to racing and other endeavor\'s... 1 day out perhaps the subject matter expert (home track) can chime in with a high level overview on what to look for? Thanks in advance ... I am shipping out from LVD and my home base of Saratoga for the CAPITAL OTB Teletheatre. I like that place and I\'ll tell ya a much better vibe than the Racino. My key to the weekend will be how Uncle Mo\'s rolls ... If only Loahban holds on. Good luck all !

[mjellish]

If Loaban couldn\'t hold on at 1 1/16 in the Gotham on a very inside biased track when he had the rail all the way around against a fairly weak field, what makes you think he can hold on verses a tougher field at 1 1/8th at Keeneland?  

He also gave up a 5 length lead in the stretch in a 1 mile maiden race.  

To be honest, I don\'t think he will even try for the lead here.  He really isn\'t a wire to wire type horse IMO.  In the Gotham he was hard ridden by the jock, whipped actually, out of the gate to get the lead and keep the inside.  He\'s more likely to be a natural presser.  IMO Zulu, Twizz, Donegal Moon and maybe even Cards of Stone all have more natural early speed.  

I can\'t see him running with Zulu early and having anything left at the top of the lane.  He\'s still a maiden too.

Been wrong plenty of times though.  

GL

[Niall]

I dont think he\'ll hold on... I had him in a handicapping contest out in Bayside. $120 to win !! Funny money of course but what fun!!