Derby 138

[bellsbendboy]

I agree with UNION RAGS.  In fact it takes some nontraditional handicapping methods to go against this colt.  Odds aside he looks like a very potential triple crown threat and with a clean trip today, always an issue, this venue, this race, should outkick these.

From a TG standpoint he was faster as a juvenile than most of these can run with a 2 in the breeders cup.  Cappers everywhere point out his bad ride in the Fla derby when the boy had no choice, yet ignore the incredible butcher job by the jock last time at Churchill.  Expect a negative number here with the hot pace, as it will take that to win!

Physically this colt has blossomed and could not be doing any better and is a man among boys.  Beat him and wear the roses.

On the vertical side of the fence it is more of a case on who i do not like.  In no particular order, but with regard to ones taking some money; Dullahan will be 25 out of it and must avoid the pace collapse. No thanks. \"Bode\" will not like the pace, the short rest and the huge weight pick up, Hansen can\'t get ten panels in the back of a sallee van and Trinnenberg who cannot get ten furlongs in the front of the same van.

Creative Cause has a foot and Harrington cleverly worked him on the fence so he could not get off the pain, if right, on the board as a pure race horse,  El Padrino need only improve a touch to be right there at fat numbers and is at three times the price of Gemologist who figures and both will be used.  Daddy Nose Best gets Gomez and could not be doing any better.  Either Take Charge Indy with a fence trip or I\'ll have another with a wide on could sneak into the super.  The others are box seat horses as i see it. BBB

[big18741]

Dull on top for me.

Using mostly UR,TCI,GEM,SABER underneath with a little DNB and El Pad mixed in.

[circlethefield]

I\'ll Have Another, followed up with Alpha.  I think Twinspires accepted my wager, but I\'m not sure, obviously.  Enjoyed reading, lurking here for the last five years...good luck to all.

[Lost Cause]

Gonna have to hope they blaze it up  in front.  I\'m playing Sabercat.  It looks like Asmussen wanted to have this horse run best 3rd race off the layoff  and took it easy wthout the pressure of making earnings.  Moving forward in every race and would have gotten second behind Bode in the Ark if Secret Circle didn\'t drift all over the track and take away his path..Gonna goo with this bomb and Hope I can pull it off...

Good luck everyone.  

Take Charge Indy, Union Rags, Bodemeister, Creative Cause, Gemologist  behind and around him...