Race 9 American turf

Started by johnnym, May 01, 2024, 07:17:11 PM

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P-Dub

P-Dub Wrote:
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> Since Johnny got me started, I\'ll do a few more.
>
> Assuming I can get up by 9am..........
>
> #6 Best Actor 5/2ML an obvious contender
>
> #7 Kapuna 6/1ML ran a very fast number last out,
> and he\'s run that number BTB last year right here
> at CD.
>
> #8 Strava 8/1ML has a nice running style for this,
> competitive numbers and has run his fastest races
> right here at CD.
>
> #10 Five Star General 8/1ML very competitive
> numbers, not crazy about the quick turn around and
> he usually is on the pace in this speed laden
> field.
>
> There is plenty of speed signed up here. Kapuna
> has shown speed in several races, but sat 5
> lengths back and closed to win going away.
> Anything close to the ML and he\'s the play for me


Kapuna had the entire stretch to run that horse down and couldn\'t.

Didn\'t play the 1 and it cost me the ex and tri
P-Dub

P-Dub

P-Dub Wrote:
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> Just a wide open race.
>
> #4 Motorious 7/2ML is fast and an obvious
> contender, but he\'s been off since running in the
> BC. Can he run his fast one off a layoff?
>
> #7 Our Shot 10/1ML is one of several in here that
> can run fast enough to contend. That last one was
> very nice
>
> #8 Mischief Magic 4/1ML faced off against the #7
> last race, his first here from Europe, and ran a
> slightly worse number due to ground. How do you
> ignore a Euro on the turf?
>
> #10 Big Invasion 5/1ML is another running
> competitive numbers. Contender
>
> #12 Arrest Me Red 10/1 has run fast enough on turf
> and synth to be a factor here
>
> #14 Cogburn 8/1ML scored for me at Saratoga paying
> a nice $17 as I watched it with Frank D in the
> backyard. Another good enough to win
>
> Another wide open race with no less than 6 solid
> contenders for me and not a lot of speed. Tough
> race I\'ll go with #7 Our Shot for the upset and I
> also like #12 Arrest Me Red. We\'ll see what the
> tote looks like

Cogburn a nice winner, ended up on him at 8/1 and also added the #6 longshot given out in the analysis for a nice exacta

Ex pays $469 for a deuce I\'ll take it
P-Dub

P-Dub

P-Dub Wrote:
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> #4 Formidable Man. I\'ll toss the San Vicente, he
> looks pretty good running a very nice number last
> out. It was a pretty big move forward, but he\'s
> had 5 weeks. Can be forwardly placed and get a
> jump on the closers. An absolute use for me at
> 15/1ML
>
> #5 Appleby horse with fast Euro numbers. In a big
> field I\'ll see if I can beat him, a must use on
> any horizontal ticket as the favorite
>
> #6 Neat ran well over a yielding turf 2 back,
> backed up last time. For me an underlay at that
> 6/1 ML
>
> #7 Stay Hot paired both 3YO numbers, at some point
> he\'ll move forward. Right now he\'s a touch slower,
> but if he does move forward he can spice up the
> verticals. Fresu a really solid jock and he\'s 10/1
> ML.
>
> #8 Lord Bullington has run 2 solid numbers his
> last 2, and has some solid late fractions if the
> front ones back up. Another at a nice ML number
> 15/1
>
> #11 Cugino 10/1ML broke thru that fast debut
> number last out. Gets blinkers as I\'m guessing
> Shug wants him to focus and finish a bit better. 3
> place finishes and a win in 4 starts.
>
> #13 Can Group 15/1ML take out the Stakes dirt
> route and he looks pretty decent. Solid turf
> number albeit ground loaded last out. Seems like a
> minor awards horse here
>
> #14 Agate Road 5/1ML ran 2 fast dirt races, but
> his turf numbers are meh. An absolute underlay for
> me here
>
> 14 horse field, I mentioned 8 with 2 I consider
> underlays.
>
> That leaves 6 horses as contenders
>
> #4 Formidable Man 15/1ML
> #5 Legend Of Time 7/2ML
> #7 Stay Hot 10/1ML
> #8 Lord Bullington 15/1ML
> #11 Cugino 10/1ML
> #13 Can Group 15/1ML
>
> The tote will clear things up on race day. As of
> now, if I had to pick a horse or 2..........
>
> #4 Formidable Man has run against graded company
> twice with dismal results. That should help the
> price. Would like to have Saez take back a bit and
> not engage the front runners. If he can sit in the
> pocket and stays clear, he gets first run and can
> hold them off unless the Euro does what Euros do
> when they come here for a turf race. Which is
> explode like a friggin rocket down the stretch

What an absolutely brutal beat
P-Dub

P-Dub

Didn\'t have time to write it up, I\'ve been in a Telegram channel all day.

but that 10 was a nice price, win ticket and wheeled exacta

I thought the forward move off the 1.5 showed he could handle that jump up.
Beautiful pattern for an improving 4yo

He broke well and got a dream trip.  After several near misses today, a nice one.

He and Cogburn have kept me above water

My P3 has 1-5-6 in this next race

The 1 is a very square price in here at 8/1
P-Dub