That\'s some good analysis.

Nice call, congrats.

GQ has been very good to you.

It\'s ICE BOX for me.

Good luck to all.

sekrah Wrote:
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> but out of the 20 hole I think he falls off all of
> my tickets completely.

>  I\'m still using LAL, but
> he\'s no longer a key.



Unfortunately, I think many will drift away form supprting LAL and SC because of the draw.

I hope the post positions of (1) Lookin At Lucky and (20) Sidney\'s Candy will not discourage their supporters.

(2) Ice Box should save all the ground early on and make a big run late.

2010 Kentucky Derby Post Positions

1. Lookin At Lucky
2. Ice Box
3. Nobles Promise
4. Super Saver
5. Line of David
6. Simply Victor
7. American Lion
8. Dean\'s Kitten
9. Make Music For Me
10. Paddy O Prado
11. Devil May Care (filly)
12. Conveyance
13. Jackson Bend
14. Mission Impazible
15. Discreetly Mine
16. Awesome Act
17. Dublin
18. Backtalk
19. Homeboykris
20. Sidneys Candy

Stunning news.

I was betting 10k on ESK at 5/2 or over.


Derby is now wide open.

covelj70 Wrote:
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> If we could get the 2 thru 4th choices out of the
> money, the exotics could pay even with Esk on
> top.


I think there is a very good chance of this happening.

Good luck choosing the correct underneath horses.

sekrah Wrote:
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>  I will confidently toss out any 2-1
> shot in the Derby


I am glad to see someone admit their strategy is to toss ANY favorite in the Derby. I believe there has to be some discrimination between a bad or vulnerable favorite and a super strong favorite that is an almost certain winner with an uneventful, reasonable trip. If I get 3-1 on Big E, I will be thrilled to make a huge win bet.

sekrah Wrote:
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> there is very little to like about Eskendereya


Really?

P-Dub Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> SonicDonn Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > Of course, any horse can be beaten by a bad
> trip.
> >
> > With good health and a reasonably fair trip,
> \"Big
> > E\" wins the Derby.
> >
> > In your heart, all of you know this is true.
>
>
> This line has been repeated before several
> derbies.
>
> It ends with tickets being ripped up.
>
> Followed by excuses at to why said horse lost.
> Usually, he didn\'t get \"a reasonably fair trip\" is
> the first one.
>
> By all means, take all of the 2-1 you can handle.
> Its one thing to come here and talk up a horse,
> its another to put your money on him.
>
> If you want to brag to friends that you picked the
> Derby winner, then thats fine.  But don\'t tell me
> that playing a 2-1 shot in a 20 horse field is a
> good idea. And though you didn\'t say it, you said
> it.


I didn\'t say \"Big E\" needs a good trip to win, just a reasonably fair trip where he is not eliminated by something unusual happening.

I am not just talking-up \"Big E\", I will be betting on him.

I don\'t need to brag to anyone about picking the Derby winner, I have picked many Derby winners over the years, most at BIG odds. I have also played against EVERY horse that had a chance to sweep the Triple Crown since 1980, usually with great success.

It is fun and exciting to come up with the wise-guy horse that pays big in the Derby, I am sure I will be trying to do so NEXT year, not this year. BTW, I will be going for a big score this year since I believe the horses that will probably be 2nd through 5th choice in the Derby have little chance of being in the exacta.

Of course, any horse can be beaten by a bad trip.

With good health and a reasonably fair trip, \"Big E\" wins the Derby.

In your heart, all of you know this is true.

jbelfior Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
 LAL is a more nimble, athletic animal. He beat him
 at Santa Anita in November and will beat him at
 Churchill in May.  
 
 Good Luck,
 Joe B.
---------------------------------------------------------






Wanna bet?

covelj70 Wrote:
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I am not anxious to try so hard to find something
 that\'s not there again that I miss what\'s right in
 front of me.




Great wisdom can be found on a horse racing/betting forum.

Uncle Buck Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
 
> I love the other threads started this weekend
> asking for the exacta horses under Esky some 29
> days days before \"Old Kentucky Home\" rings the
> air. Gotta love horseplayers!




You would have REALLY loved the following from my March 20 post:




Re: Ok lets run down the Florida Derby! (210 Views)
Posted by: SonicDonn (IP Logged)
Date: March 20, 2010 09:45AM


As far as the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown.

Eskendereya will win the Derby unless something bad (injury, illness) happens to him and has a very good chance to win the Triple Crown.

What odds can I get right now on Eskendereya to win the Triple Crown?

Eskendereya is the real deal.

Who do you like UNDERNEATH in the Derby?