Silver Charm Wrote:
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> 6 straight wins in a Money Line parlay is
> significant. It wasnt 6 straight against the
> Raiders. You said it yourself.
>
> Always may have been an exaggeration. If its 60%
> of the time that\'s enough for a professional group
> like the one Billy Walters described in his Book.
> They played Coin Toss Selection tendencies. As in
> do they take the ball or defer. Amd who scores
> first. He claimed they had $50K maybe $100K on
> that Parlay in the Super Bowl with Arizona and
> Pittsburgh
>
> And NFL Official could call holding on every play.
> A Breeders Cup Vet is he watching every horse warm
> up stride for stride. No he can\'t. And if he is
> just watching certain Trainers and Connections
> that is a serious problem. Kenny runs them sound
> and Mystik Dan if that is the last race of his
> career should not be remembered as \"lame and
> unsound\" because a Hometown Vet said he was. Horse
> Racing is becoming unbettable.

You aren\'t playing a 6 game ML parlay because you haven\'t yet identified the streak. At what point do you say.....hey this team wins with this ref??

Unless you have an incredible ability to target a streak before it even happens.

Its an insignificant sample size, and you didn\'t target the streak from game 1 because you had no clue the next 5 games would also be wins....so not one person would have put together a 6 game ML parlay. Zero.

And my point using the Raiders is that if its so significant, why did they barely win as a 13 point fav?

Yes, there are very few officials that hover around 60%. And again, you have to identify them in time for it to matter...and guess what.....the following year they aren\'t close to 60%.

Your premise isn\'t bad, but putting it into practice isn\'t nearly as easy as you\'re making it out to be.

Silver Charm Wrote:
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> So are to the point where we need to start
> handicapping the Vets? Ask anyone who is a
> Professional Gambler that is part of a heavy
> wagering syndicate and bets Pro Football.
>
> The Kansas City Chiefs had never lost a game where
> Clay Martin was Lead Official. Certain NBA Refs
> the game almost always goes OVER. They call more
> Fouls. Professionals study this. If one Vet
> eyeballs more scratches than the others then
> that\'s important info if you are playing multi
> race wagers. While some of this sounds ridiculous
> that is where we are at. NO ONE KNOWS the
> standards or the rules. Its one mysterious mans
> judgement.....

KC is 6-0 and 3-3 ATS with Martin, one of those wins a squeaker against an awful Raiders team as a DD favorite. The Chiefs have been great, the Raiders have been shit. A 6 game sample with the far better team beating the shitty one 6 straight isn\'t significant.

Your NBA assertion isn\'t close to accurate. There isn\'t one NBA Ref that \"almost always goes OVER\". Yes, some have Over or Under tendencies. Not one of them is anywhere close to almost always.

Are referee stats useful?? Sure they are, I have a few in my database. But they play a smaller role than people think

Race 1
#4 Better Than Gold 8/1 has the greatest BC jockey of all time piloting him. Love the pattern down to a fast one. 8/1 ML a square price to start the day. Will use 1,3,5,8,9,12

Race 2
I\'ll take a flyer with Irad on the #3 Itza Lock 10/1
. Never gone back and ran a solid number at this dist/surface last out. #7 Later Than Planned 8/1 also a nice price with a good one last out. Trying to beat the chalk who is very good. Will use 4,5,7

Race 3
Love the #7 Too Sassy 9/2 here with that fast dirt race last out at this track.  Will use 3,9,12

Race 4
Not a great betting race. The Japanese horse #7 Puro Magic 4/1 has run well against good company. Will use 4,6 in what looks like a chalky race, which means the winner will pay 30 bucks and the verticals blow up the tote board.

Race 5
The #5 Can’t Help Myself 8/1 ran a fast race 2 back here, last out ran the same number 3 back. If he runs the 9 again he has a big shot. I wish he wasn\'t inside of the other speed. Would like a stalking trip if possible. Will use 2,6,9

Race 6
#1 Brussels 8/1
 has a nice forging pattern with a very competitive number last out. Gets the rail and needs to work out a trip. #3 Royal Testament 12/1 ships in, rough start last out but his prior 2 make him a player here. Gets Prat. #12 Lennilu 8/1 also ships in with a nice race last out. I\'ll use her too. 4,8,9,10 will be used to spread in verticals, keying the 1 and 3.

Race 7
The #7 is a contender, but at the smallish price I\'ll try and beat her. #2 Bottle Of Rouge 9/2 has a nice pair going into this, runs well over at this track, The #3 Meaning 15/1 is reportedly working well and is a def use as well as the #9 LA Willy 10/1 who starts out a few points slower, but has a nice pattern for a top with the nice route foundation last out and gets Prat. I also think the #8 can sneak in for a minor

Race 8
#1 Ultimate Love 8/1 is my key here, never gone backwards with a very solid number last out. Johnny V needs to work out a trip, something he\'s done a lot of lately. The 3 Imaginationthelady 10/1 and 5 Final Accord 15/1 are my other main contenders. Will use 2,4,6,9,13 underneath

Race 9
The 7 Brant 5/2 will be very tough and a possible single for me. Using the 1,3 and 6 underneath hoping the 3 stays near his ML and hits the board.

Race 10
Tough race. I\'m hoping the 13 Hey Nay Nay 8/1 breaks well and gets a stalking trip or even gets the lead. Rosario has to send and there is other speed. I\'m hoping for a not too wide trip coming out of the 1st turn. Will use the 2 Street Beast 10/1 and 3 Outfielder 10/1. Trying to beat Gstaad. The tote may make my decision. Will use 1 and 9 underneath and also the 8

Win Bets I like the best
Race 1
#4 Better Than Gold 8/1

Race 3
Too Sassy 9/2

Race 5
Can’t Help Myself 8/1

Race 8
#1 Ultimate Love 8/1

Race 9
#7 Brant 5/2

If I buy the pre entries, will I be able to download the final set in PP order next week??

A tremendous loss for the board, glad I got to meet him at Saratoga 2 years ago.

I\'ll always remember La Derby Day 2020. R-Bee played the P5 which prompted me to also post a ticket. Cashed $7399 on a $180 ticket.

He sent me a DM congratulating me and hoping that his post played a small part in playing that sequence. I told him I probably never play it if he doesn\'t post. Such a good guy.

As time marches on its a sober reminder of getting old as our friends leave us. Enjoy life as often as you can.

I\'m in Missouri and will attend the Alabama/Missouri game tomorrow. My friend is an alum and donor and invited me out for the weekend. I\'ve sat in on various meet and greets the past 2 days, campus tours, etc... Tomorrow we will watch the game from the Chancellor\'s box on the 50. Yes, they would love another donation =)

I hope everyone is doing well and enjoying the weekend..

Less than a month til the Breeders\' Cup.......

Thanks for the weekly email that included this race

Giocoso clearly the fastest in the race paid $11.40

#1 Cali Cat ran 3 solid sprint races TY, and if he didn\'t back up in his last I would like him. Looks like the minors are his ceiling

#2 Incanto decent sprints but another that backed up going longer

#3 Iron Man Cal is an obvious contender. Nice line never going back, paired his 2YO top in his first race TY. The last race the best turf route fig and an obvious contender as the ML Fav

#4 Lyle The Crocodile making his 2nd US race with a decent enough pattern, hasn\'t gone backwards. He\'s needs to make a forward move to contend but that isn\'t impossible. Has shown speed and may be pace compromised by a few in here.

#5 Artislas has some solid numbers, a few excuses for the 2 backwards moves. Hernandez rides very well for Mullins, this one is competitve on numbers. I wouldn\'t sleep on this one.

#6 Kale\'s Angel has run fast sprints, routes nothing special. He\'s a threat on his very fast sprints but this isn\'t a sprint.

#7 Game Warrior has a nice pattern, he\'s just a couple points slower than the faster ones. A forward move is certainly possible and if he is anywhere near his ML he\'s useable. Blinkers go back on today. I think his ceiling is the minors.

#8 Day And Age this horse appears to like 2 turns better than 1, has run nice figures, solid pattern. Another slower than the best in here but can move forward and compete.

#9 Mala seems outgunned

#10 Bodi Zafa has a solid pattern, marching down to the co best turf figure in the race in his last. He\'ll have to work out a trip from the 10 hole going a mile. He is the clear value in this race at his 15-1 ML which I will be shocked if he is anywhere close to that

I have 2 horses that have run the same number going long on the turf. One is 9/5 ML and the other 15/1 ML. IMC has a beautiful pattern, but Bodi just ran a race just as fast

#10 Bodi Zafa will hopefully be \"Reeling In the horses\" down the stretch as the speed horses do the \"Dirty Work\". \"Only A Fool Would Say That\" he doesn\'t have any chance in here. Hopefully it will be a \"Black Friday\" for the others and runs a \"Time Out of - his - Mind\"

#10 Bodi Zafa to win
minors include 1,3,4,5,7,8

I would play a P4 after the P5 starts with a winner. I\'ve done it many times.

I also have no issues putting in a P5 ticket that costs up to $240 if I felt the ticket would have a chance at a nice score

Thanks for the sheets.

#5 Fionn was a pretty clear choice paid 14.40

grinder Wrote:
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> An interesting perspective that success is now
> viewed as a failure. How a horse is managed is up
> to the connections - and they have won both of the
> Triple Crown races that they entered.
> Hypotheticals aside - I\'m sure that they feel
> pretty good right now about their horse and after
> the Belmont stated that they \"have no regrets\"
> about skipping the Preakness.


Where did I say success was a failure??

The interesting perspective is you jumping to that conclusion

TGJB Wrote:
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> So your thinking is, because what Mott did worked
> perfectly, it means he should have done something
> else?


If the goal was not to win the Triple Crown, then yes it worked perfectly

Ok Joey, someone agrees with you so they must \"get it\"

And you cry about me having to be right

Again Prat veers out briefly creating space for Journalism.  Prat was going to go around the 2 leaders.

Rispoli took it and Prat steered his horse into him

Most of the time, yes they are.

You finally posted something accurate

Saying Rispoli is the reason the 1 came over is ridiculous

A hole opened briefly, Rispoli took it.  Prat knew it and recklessly sawed him off.

There was a hole and Prat sawed him off
If I\'m Rispoli I\'m putting hands on Prat in the jockey\'s room

Blaming Rispoli for the 1 coming over is a special kind of ridiculous

Agreed about not holding position into the first turn, but not sure it would have mattered.

Picked the wrong horse to beat T Anna.

Ripped up horizontal tickets.

And the Warriors played like my wagering today. Shit.

I got my teeth kicked in today.

Tomorrow a new day