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Messages - analizethis

#1
Ask the Experts / Re: Journalism
May 18, 2025, 06:03:54 PM
Did Crudo run the best 3 yo race of the day on Saturday?

I would think we are looking at him jumping to a TG 2.

A $520,000 RNA out of justify. Per TG, I don\'t see I lot of stakes winners out of the dam but the Travers must be in his future.
#2
Ask the Experts / East Avenue
May 02, 2025, 08:01:34 AM
Feeling like his two big efforts might come out of an affinity for KEE.
 
Original top on that surface and he paired it when he came back.

Also (new track or not) he bounced off last top. Understand the point on rider change but it seems like an unknown based on history. Fact is, excuse or not, the 2 times he wasn\'t on the lead 1st call he finished 9th and 10th.

Strong connections make sense but I can\'t support as an A level runner.

Thanks.
#3
Ask the Experts / Re: Grande
May 02, 2025, 07:19:28 AM
Not surprised with Grande. Great talent, no starts until 3 yo and no works since Wood except for an under the radar one at KEE.

Another situation where Repole can rage at \"racing\" but TAP knows he is an \"oochy\" colt.

Thanks.
#4
Am I reading the PPs correctly? Do Rodriquez and Citizen Bull have identical ownership?

Thanks.
#5
Ask the Experts / Re: Rodriguez out, Baeza In
May 01, 2025, 04:04:52 PM
Any word on the new Neoequos jockey?
#6
Ask the Experts / Re: Spa 5th
July 28, 2024, 12:52:31 PM
Clearly both the 4 and the 3 should have been non-starters.

Th 4 broke through the gate; the gate assistant never let go, the filly was out of control and wiped out the 3. I think she even impeded the 2.
Maybe that one should have been a non-starter also.

Oh well, another way to lose a race.

Bob
#7
Ask the Experts / Derby figures
May 11, 2024, 07:55:56 AM
Where are the complete Derby figures posted?

Thanks.

Bob
#8
Ask the Experts / Re: BC Mile Numbers
November 03, 2023, 12:12:32 PM
Thanks JB.I would be interested in hearing the longer answer some day.

And thanks for the seminar, good luck this weekend.
#9
Ask the Experts / BC Mile Numbers
November 03, 2023, 03:18:03 AM
At 4:46 on October 7 at Keeneland the First left the gate. Gina Romantica won that one mile race in a time of 1:33.70,

At 5:50 on October 7 at Keeneland the Coolmore Mile left the gate. Master of the Seas and Up to the Mark finished in a head bob at the wire in 1:34.18 for their one mile race.

Gina Romantica carried 124 pounds and Master of the Seas carried 126 pounds. According to the sheet the filly and the colt each ran in the 1 path on each turn.

Master of the Seas earned a number .75 better than GR when based on the facts of the races above it looks to me like GR should have earned between 1.5 point and 1.75 points better.  

What am I missing?

Thanks.
#10
Ask the Experts / Final Numbers Derby Day
May 11, 2022, 07:27:34 AM
Any thoughts on timing?
#11
Ask the Experts / Re: Derby Picks
May 07, 2022, 06:52:08 PM
Has a Derby winner ever had a 3-year-old top worse than this one?

MTB and Giacomo had 5s.
#12
Thanks, Steve.

That is helpful.
#13
Ask the Experts / Re: Question for Mathcapper
November 07, 2018, 07:31:14 AM
In your computation of \"will pay odds\" do you apply any adjustment for takeout differences?

Thanks.

Bob
#14
Ask the Experts / Re: And It Begins
October 26, 2018, 01:12:00 PM
I downloaded the TG pre-entry files but I wanted to know if anyone knows how to access the pre-entries in excel or comma delineated file.

Thanks.

Bob
#15
Ask the Experts / Re: Cool read
June 04, 2018, 07:26:16 PM
Thanks.