Beyer on Fire

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

Sometimes I\'m sure he has to fill a column and I know it gets hard if the material to fill it with is spotty. I\'ve given it to him when he\'s stretched for material, so I should give credit when its due and he writes good columns more often than bad ones. Heres a great one and I think he\'s got a very good point:

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=55309&subs=0&arc=0

I would take exception with his view of the speed favoring nature of the strip.



Post Edited (05-06-04 18:16)

[Kingfisher]

I don\'t buy it. Granted the traffic on the final turn, but he was 1w and saving ground on the first turn. Also Beyer must be looking at some other race when he says that Imperialism \"was blocked in the stretch when he lost the Santa Anita Derby\". He might have been shut off in the stretch but he sure wasn\'t passing RockHard Ten or Castledale.

But I hope the horse comes to Pimlico. Smarty will just do it again. The only one that concerns me is Rock Hard Ten.

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

King, I wasn\'t saying if Imperialism runs in the Preakness he\'s gonna win. I was just seconding Beyer\'s view that The race doesn\'t always go to the fastest but its more prone to if the second fastest doesn\'t run.

I\'m fully aware of what Smarty did in the Rebel, Ark and Derby. In the Rebel and Ark he was spotting weight. I\'m not altogether certain he won\'t move forward on a dry track at level weights.



Post Edited (05-07-04 01:29)

[Dan]

I think Imperialism is this year\'s Impeachment (the name\'s are even close now that I type this out...) He could fly late for a piece in the Preakness, especially if more horses go out for the lead.  But, he\'ll ultimately be overbet at Belmont, as Beyer points out, deep closers who seem to run out of stretch always are bet hard at BEL, and he\'ll finish off the board(unless he\'s Victory Gallop, which he isn\'t -- but even VG got beat at PIM).  

I think the quinella at Pimlico will be the same as in the Derby, I just might flip the exacta.  The last closer I can remember who was bet at the Preakness off a troubled trip in the Derby was Dollar Bill and I think he ran off the board again (PG - AP Val - Congaree, no?)...I expect a 4th of 5th place finish would be about Imperialism\'s ceiling too, although maybe he could clunk along for third.  

If you want a bomber for PIM, go with history and play the local star, in this case, I guess thats Water Cannon.  I\'d never heard of him til I saw him on the contenders list at DRF, and he looks a cut below the rest, but those local boys always seem to show up and get a piece...