The Draw

Started by sekrah, April 29, 2015, 02:34:12 PM

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joemama

Frosted\'s Remsen is one to take a look at also.

johnnym

Thanks Mama, I have watched every replay at least 3 times... He broke fromthe 13 hole in that one.. I don\'t see a repeat performance though.
I\'m seeing more of a Wood type of run.. I am guessing he will be around 10th 11th going down the back stretch..
Can\'t believe MUB is 20-1 biggest overlay to me..
Good Luck..

jack72906

I\'m more inclined to use Bolo a little more after the draw. Like many others I like Danzig Moon to be in the mix, but I\'m nervous about LeParoux being able to work out a trip from the inside. I still have that horrific ride he put on Union Rags a few years ago stuck in my mind.

johnnym

Jack that is a great point,  Frenchy had the favorite 2 years in a row Dialed In and Union Rags and his rides were horrible to the point I vowed to never play him again on the dirt.. Now he is on what seems to be every ones #1 bomber pick including me..
My nerves
Good Luck

number5858

I think you have to move up Dortmund. He lost a shoe at the start of the SA Derby plus has Big Brown and Bob Baffert. I like his draw.

joemama


joemama

I also lost on him on Dialed In and Union Rags.  I am not going broke trying to get my money back on that guy.

joemama

The 8 post is a very good one.

HP

It would be better for them if the Bafferts swapped.  Dortmund would be better off outside, big guy allowed to do his thing and get his space.  I say it\'s a bad draw for him.  Those jocks inside will have to earn their money, but if there\'s pace they will be fine.  Maybe they will let Zayat lay out traffic cones so AP can have room.  I can\'t wait to see him break and have to fight.  Maybe he proves he is a real champ here?  Could be a fantastic race.

sekrah

The problem is Dortmund is not fast enough, and his pattern doesn\'t scream new top. You\'re getting 3-1 or 4-1 on a horse like that?  What\'s there to like?

johnnym

He has been fast enough 6 times.. Has won at the Downs as well.
Ill take may chances.. Good Luck

jack72906

A few things to like:

He\'s big and he\'ll more than likely be able to find a comfortable position behind the first flight.

He\'ll get 10f.

Had a lead against Firing Line in the stretch in the Bob Lewis, gave it up, and he came back to beat him. Gutsy

He\'s run a figure fast enough to win.

He\'s won at the Churchill

I understand the pattern piece of it, but considering all of the others have question marks and a lot of the main threats have terrible post positions the horse a lot going for him. Yeah the price will be low but there is likely to be plenty of value underneath.

sekrah

Well Dortmund\'s best is 8th fastest coming into this race, and since the SA Derby he\'s been handled with kid gloves by a trainer who usually zings bullets.

It\'s your money, not mine.

eljayar52

Not a peep from the elders since the draw. They must have their crayons out drawing trakuslike pictures of the race.

bellsbendboy

Dortmund\'s work between horses on the 18th was as good as a horse can work  (American Pharoah aside) and the best of sixty that morning with a bunch left in the tank.  bbb