Pool 2

[Halo Fire]

I took a nice swing with Mr.Z
44-1
I know he seems like a nutcase, but \"if\" Wayne gets him straightened out, I think he\'ll be okay.
What am I missing?

[TMW]

Halo Fire Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I took a nice swing with Mr.Z
> 44-1
> I know he seems like a nutcase, but \"if\" Wayne
> gets him straightened out, I think he\'ll be okay.
> What am I missing?

I don\'t think anything. He IS a Nutcase.

[ajkreider]

I can\'t recall a young 3 yr old that has:

1. Kept such good company - 8 stakes, 7 of them graded
2. Had such consistent good form - placed in 5 of the graded races, and
3. Only won his maiden

Another Bourbon Courage in the making.

[Wrongly]

I didn\'t use Texas Red in my small; very small, future wager but isn\'t it nice that they announced he has a foot abscess following the close of the wager.

[Tavasco]

Regarding Texas Red, I\'ve read the DRF article and there is still hope, Of course one never knows.

One of the wonderful aspects of this game is the variety of thinking, the diverse rationale. Much of which seems nonsensical and absurd, given our own paradigm. The following tickles me.

First, to date, my approach to these pools has been to pass. I thought. and still do, that I could probably get a good price on a horse that was actually in the race. I had been influenced by watching too many prospects not make it to the dance. But this year I changed my mind. My thought was to pick a few under the radar in the 35/1 range. So I did. Now reflecting on my actions, I realize it is not about making a good bet it is about being a fanatic. I\'m OK with that because the Triple Crown Circus is about being a fan of the sport and enjoying one race for 3-6 mos.

So being a fanatic, I can look at the actions of others as absurd because I have become so narrow minded. For example, I noticed myself laughing silently that the betting public made Dortmund the second choice. I discounted his backers without knowing who they are or why they did. Because I\'m sure that I read that Bob Baffert said American Pharaoh was the best young horse he\'d ever trained. So, at least BB believes Dortmund is not the best horse going in. I hadn\'t considered that Baffert fanatics dutched all his horses! A trainer angle, not without merit. Maybe his backers just consider his to date speed figures or races or? and don\'t know Bob favors another.

To me the irresistible force and the immovable object that I just cannot get past is that come the 1st Saturday In May I just do not see a front running horse winning. Very simple there are too many of them (at this juncture) and they will beat each other. I expect a replay of the Juvenile. Maybe not Texas Red but one with a similar running style.

Of course my speculation is just that of a fanatic and big horse fans are guffawing somewhere saying small horses don\'t have a chance carrying all that weight that far.

So I spread taking a Baffert, Lord Nelson, needing a bigger price than his popular ones offered. Competitive Edge because he\'s unbeaten 37/1 and Frosted 31/1 because he is already fast enough to win..

It caught my eye that Romans entered a euro in the El Camino Real which has a few derby qualifying points? A one on two fast break vs Hollendorfer @ GG. Optimistic!