Analysis

Started by shanahan, May 19, 2012, 04:38:41 PM

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Rick B.

Beau Wrote:
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> To me the singles...Hamazing Destiny $7.80, and Skyring $19.60

Comment A: You singled two Lukas horses? Including one, \"Hanging Density\", who hadn\'t won any sort of race in two years? Is this the sort of move you make on a regular basis?

> Sorry for the redboard! I usually do not post my
> luck at all, but it\'s been a long time since I
> made a serious score like this!

Comment B: Congrats on your score, but I can\'t help but say: see Comment A for clues on your drought.

shanahan

jim, I roll pik 3 all day long.

JR

My optimism is tempered by the remebrance of having exactly that same feeling in the past. It\'s still 3 hard races in the span of 7 weeks. Fresh faces have a significant advantage.
JR

Beau

I know imagine that 2 Lukas horses, back to back at that. Like I said before I did not try and beat the fastest horses in the race.

I am not a long time user of TG, still learning...  that numbers do not lie!

Rick B.

Beau Wrote:
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> I am not a long time user of TG, still learning...
>  that numbers do not lie!

You must not have played Pimlico on Friday, then; the \"best numbers\" horses were not only not winning, they were getting thumped.
 
I chucked the Sheets -- something I don\'t normally do -- just in time to find a $50+ horse that had bad numbers but reasonably good grass breeding, and the rail.

I\'m glad things worked out for you yesterday, but...don\'t fall in love with the numbers. Not until horses learn how to read, anyway.  ;)

Rick B.

shanahan Wrote:
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> The analysis was ok, but the specific Preakness
> race analysis was borderline comical..well it
> would have been had I not paid for it.

I just grabbed the Analysis from the Redboard Room.

Shanny -- not to shill for the house, nor pick a fight, but...what was comical?
 
The idea that the horses coming from the Derby might not fire isn\'t that silly; while the Derby horses have a tendency to run well in The Preakness, it\'s not like we\'ve never seen Derby horses come back in 2 weeks and puke halfway around the Pimlico oval.

The \"doubt\" expressed by TGJB about the Preakness faves was, IMO, a signal that it wasn\'t the world\'s best betting race, so don\'t go ass-crazy on it. (I know...easy to say that today...). But if I\'m in the Pick N bets, there is no way I leave out the main Derby returnees based on JB\'s comments...nor would I have tried for the home run and used only the two uber-longshots.

TGJB

5th race the 3 horse box ran 1-2-3, $40 exacta and $208 tri.
TGJB

Topcat

JR Wrote:
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> My optimism is tempered by the remebrance of
> having exactly that same feeling in the past. It\'s
> still 3 hard races in the span of 7 weeks. Fresh
> faces have a significant advantage.


Not busting chops . . . but a span of FIVE weeks.  

Still, leave it be.   D. Wayne has been repeatedly quoted to want the Derby to be 1 1/8 miles.   Jeezus, leave it alone.

Silver Charm

We need a trending now ticker on this board.... I think Drape and D Wayne would.lead everyday.....

JR

Chops busted. Thank you for the correction. My minds to old for this. But it was a beautiful day there yesterday.
JR

JimP

I only counted the races where a specific play was stated. The analysis of the 5th listed the 3 \"best\" horses but didn\'t state any particular bet. But I can see how one could deduce that a Box was intended even though not stated. So count that one and the score is 3 wins, 8 outs, 2 passes.

sighthound

I remember Affirmed, Alydar. Secretariat and Sham.  Dr. Fager. IMO Barbaro should have been our most recent Triple Crown winner.  

I\'ll Have Another is clearly the best of Bodemeister, both very good horses.  Spring proves how much potential they have, fall and 4-year-old year proves if they are great.  Wish the JC Gold Cup was still long.

We\'ve lost quality in the USA IMO, and it\'s not due to \"lasix\" and \"drugs\".  It\'s due to simply being afraid to run horses against each other.  Horses no longer have careers on the track - they get their 2 or 3 Graded Stakes wins and off to the shed.

Lost Cause

sighthound Wrote:
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>  IMO Barbaro should have been our most
> recent Triple Crown winner.  
>
He and Bernardini would have put on a hell of a show

Edgorman

I will take 3 wins a day anytime. And this is done before the conditions and betting.  Calm down and smell the roses.

Wire To Wire

You go, Beau!
Great singles for pick 3/4/5 sequences, which is where the money was made yesterday
Skyring\'s thorograph breeding info included a dam who produced horses who ran 4,5,6 on turf and he had a good pattern and fast dirt numbers
And don\'t forget Il Villano earlier in the card...certainly another that you could have singled
The Best Bet of the Day was certainly Clare Skies Ahead...a blind man could have come up with her!...and she ran an amazing race!