Davidowitz on Trips

[bdhsheets]

classcapper:

Until you post analysis of a race, how it will unfold and be run before hand, please stop posting.

I won\'t hold my breath. Far easier to post gobbledeygoop after the fact.

bdhseets,

Not that you care, but you are unlikely to get that type of exact analysis from me. That\'s not what I do. So defintely don\'t hold your breath. :-) I am trying to win money, not predict exactly how the race will develop

I am simply looking for VALUE.

What you will get from me is horses in the field I believe to be either better or worse than generally perceived by the public because of trips etc...

In fact, if a particular race development (like a duel, etc..) becomes the overwhelming expectation of handicappers and gets built into the odds fully, I am more likely to go against the grain even if I agree that that scenario is the most likely one.

It was not gobbledegoop.

I believe Dynever and Valponi may have run better than it looks on paper because they raced off the pace in a slow paced race in the Med Cup - which I don\'t think is fully appreciated. Unfortunately, being underappreciated is not equivalent to predicting them to win either. IMO, neither is the \"most likely\" winner and I would not bet Volponi.

I will refrain from posting my opinions in bits and pieces like this. I understand your point. Since Volponi was the topic of discussion, I thought it might be OK to say something about him prior to a full analysis.

Good Luck.

[jbelfior]

MEMO TO ALL VOLPONI FANS:


If you did not attend the wedding, don\'t bother going to the wake.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[JimP]

I attended the wedding and I already have my ticket to the anniversary party in the futures pools.