Flat Out

Started by covelj70, October 27, 2011, 09:25:03 AM

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toppled

I\'ll take another stab on why he ran poorly in the Foster:
There are only 2 races in his career that he has raced on fewer than 4 weeks rest.  His non effort in the Foster & his subsequent win in the Suburban.  So, the way I see it is, his ideal rest time is 4-5 weeks.  He did not get that in the Foster.  Since it was such a non effort, the next time he came back in 14 days, it was almost like he hadn\'t raced in 4+ weeks.  It may be a bit of a stretch & it would make more sense if the Suburban had been 4 weeks after the Foster, but it was also 2nd race off an over 5 month layoff which was preceded by an almost 18 month layoff and he may not have been in his best form that day.  Maybe that Lone Star race created muscle soreness.  
Clearly, he\'s been a totally different horse since he hit the track on July 2nd than he\'d ever been before and if they all run to their recent numbers it\'s hard to go by him & the filly.  I see Uncle Mo as a total toss off that knockout Kelso number & his questionable distance ability.  
If nothing changes between now & Saturday, I\'m planning on playing him on top of Ruler on Ice, So You Think, Havre de Grace & To Honor and Serve in exactas, tris & supers.  I\'ll reverse the exactas, double up on the exacta boxes with HdG SYT & play a cold Union Rags/Goldikova/Flat Out pick 3 & saver P3s with Union Rags/Courageous Cat,Byword/Flat Out  and Union Rags/Goldikova,Courageous Cat,Byword/So You Think,Harve de Grace,To Honor and Serve.  
Because Union Rags looks so good in the Juvenile the P3 looks like the place to concentrate some good bets on.

JR

JR