Animal Kingdom - First Time Dirt - Big New Top

[big18741]

With Nehro out I\'m expecting Dance City to take a lot of money.It would not shock me if he\'s in the same price range as Dialed In or MMM.At worst he\'d be what 4th choice?

It is Pletcher/Dominguez and he shows an improving pattern.Has to be the shortest priced horse of the new ones right?

[Lost Cause]

Can\'t blame the Dialed in connections trying to chase the Bonus.  That is a lot of cash to not even take a shot.

[Lost Cause]

Donut Wrote:
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> 5. You should just pass..not enough value out
> there to support your theory.


Betting against a 2/1 to 7/2 horse in a race with a giant pool with a proven theory does offer value.  I\'ve said it before that the theory of poly to dirt explosion, then bounce is hit/miss but at the odds i\'ll take it.

[Donut]

I used ak on top. Aaa and mi were above him for me though. I still think aaa was the best in derby field and would have won impressively if not for the breakdown. Serious animal with long pasterns..too bad he would have been great. The way the pace turned out and the way they left the gate..if aaa doesn\'t get hurt coming out he\'s right there in 2nd flight maybe 1st flight saving all the ground. I had 300 to win on ak..he served as a hedge for aaa and mi. I felt that with so many turf/synth horses involved that if there was going to be a time he would be it. The work really pushed me over the edge. 4/8\'s wouldn\'t,5/8\'s kind of,but 6/8\'s and the way he did it watch out! The only thing that ercked me was his low dosage points..but it shouldn\'t have.
I went very heavy win on aaa
Hit mi pretty good
Saved it w ak

Edgar prado stays closer to the pace in the race before I take the joint down.
Dosen\'t mean smart bid would\'ve won,but i\'m just not a huge believer in get stormy at the grade 1 level. He got away w very very very easy fractions.Dbls,pick 3,pick 4. No pick 5 cause 1st leg screwed me..rail may been
dead that day cause that race was unexplainable.

Ak drifting? No I wouldn\'t like but I must go watch head on again. I do agree w pace scenario that might develop in this race,but I just don\'t know if there\'s another horse that\'s got what it takes here.
Nehro-like a lot but hates to win
Di-distance? Hasn\'t went bk to holy bull # since stretching out
flashpoint-no way at this distance
Dc-like a lot..but can he sit behind horses
Mi-horrific performance last time out..baffert just seems too too humorous this year
On a plane takin off catch up later. I like this board..u guys r cool

[Donut]

I was a little bit of a jerk yesterday..sorry. We\'ll chat more

[Donut]

Theory or no theory..ak is better on dirt. 7/2? I would run and hide w that price. Trying to beat him as well.
But this field is a head scratcher. I don\'t see the bounce coming now. I would like to go over him more
than anything.