Hey Barry

Started by TGJB, April 27, 2009, 09:15:10 AM

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TGJB

Is Unbridled Belle ready to run a top? How much weight are you getting from Zenyatta?
TGJB

Barry Irwin

Unbridled Belle is less than 50-50 to run because she figures to be in heat on Thursday and may be bred to A. P. Indy, in which case we will have her covered and scratch. If the follicle holds off until Saturday, she will run.

Todd Pletcher was feeling pretty good about her chances until the announcement yesterday that Zenyatta was coming.

As you know, UB ran a tremendous race off the bench last year, then went backwards.

richiebee

Does anyone else take Zenyatta\'s Churchill appearance to mean that there is a decent chance that the BC will be run at CD, and not SA, this fall?

Silver Charm

Maybe.

Or the Trainer is telling the truth and she needs a race and racing needs HER to race

Lotta hearts could be mended this weekend.

Barry good luck you are already off to a busy start with the Derby Trial winner.

TGJB

Give her a shot and run her. Big shot (other kind) here, Zenyatta is good but not that good, may not run her best, and gives you 6 pounds.
TGJB

Barry Irwin

As of today, it is 60-40 to run based on her unchanged progesterone level.

randy_yu

Barry,

Does a filly in heat affect her performance during a race?  According to Frankel, Ginger Punch was in heat prior to the Persoanl Ensign last year at Saratoga.  You may recall she ran one of her best races, much to our chagrin.

Barry Irwin

It is an individual thing, but generally I think it is considered to be a negative. High strung fillies and mares seems to take it harder than more placid distaffers.

drbillym

High hopes for Kinsella today?

Barry Irwin

Displaced when he got so rank Leparoux had to use too much force to repeatedly check him off heels. The colt can run, and run a lot, but he is still very much a green youngster that needs to learn to settle.

randy_yu

Barry,

I thought Unbridled Belle was a great bet at 7/2, especially without Zenyatta.  Are we going to see her again?

TGJB

Only on a catalogue page.
TGJB

jimbo66

She ran like an elephant. She did like a steal at 7-2.  More consistently fast than the winner and getting weight at 5 times the price.  

No such thing as a \"steal\".  

Tomorrow is another day, but today was not a good TG day.  Quite a few \"no shot\" horses on TG won and a bunch of \"good looking TG lines\" ran poorly.  Will be curious to see the analysis tomorrow and see if TGJB/TGAB did as poorly as I did.

I know it is only a million dollars in the pool,but 5-1 on General Quarters?  I guess it must be one big bet, as the double price is in line with other 20-1 shots.

miff

\"I know it is only a million dollars in the pool,but 5-1 on General Quarters? I guess it must be one big bet, as the double price is in line with other 20-1 shots\"

Jim,

Think that might be a mistake?, saw him at 14-1, hours ago.


Mike
miff

TGJB

Wasn\'t a good day for me or the analysis, but quite a few of the horses we liked did run well.

Two horse boxes in the first and third, in both cases one won and the other ran out.

Two horse box in the sixth ran 1-3.

Zenyatta scratch mad that whole race a different question, and you had to guess about UB on an off track.

Two horse box in the 9th, Cool Coal Man ran okay, the other didn\'t.

Turfiste ran okay at a big price, tough to find that winner.

Still, definitely not a good day.
TGJB