T'Graphers - a little help

[fkach]

I think it\'s hard to put too much weight on figure patterns that end with the Derby because the paces are often extreme, the trips are often wildly difficult and the race roughly run because of the 20 horse field. I suspect that more than an average number of horses come out of the race banged up. Plus, many of the horses are unsuited to 10F.  

I think the nature of the race is that you are going to see a lot more very bad figures from very good horses than you would typically see.

How do you tell if that\'s part of a pattern in their figures (running too fast)or the conditions of the race?  

In addition, more than a couple of horses that ran huge races coming into the Derby, did so under very favorable conditions. Good to examine the data anyway.