Weekend at Burnie's #9

[Dudley2]

Well gents, this quagmire at CD changes everything- I feel like my 10 yr. old self whose little league game got rained out. I HATE the slop! All the buildup and preconceived wagers are out the window and it is time for plan B. The figs and their form aren\'t as reliable, and the first time sloppers will freak- but in what direction!? But I digress...

So Burnham Square will be my key. On figs- paired 4\'s then 1.25 in the BG- he is the best value in the field at 15-1 as I write. I have him 3x in the futures pools averaging 27-1 so no need for a win wager today at less than. Wilkes has been there with Street Sense and Unbridled. He brought Burnie along with slow and steady progression and he\'s sitting on his best today! Work of the week- and the only one who went out at CD on the less than fast-dry track to do it. I hope his 424 Tomlinsin # bears fruit!

Hernandez can sit the trip as he showed us last year. He should tuck in for a nice position from the now 8-hole and take some dirt from the inside speed. \"...saved ground both turns, circled field, rallied willingly, drew off...\" Derby chart dreamin..

So I will rely on Burnie and his team- playing him up and down in the exotics with the best horses because \'the good ones can run on anything\' right fellas?  That\'s my strategy for the Big One; build some lottery tickets and pray with a nice bourbon in one hand and cigar in the other.

Who are the other good ones to wheel with him? For my money- dismissing most of the expected early speed there are 8 others: 7- Luxor (3-4 on wet must use!) 8-Journey, (Journey-Burnie box?), 12- East Ave. the quality of the expected pace and he did not stop at the BG wire, 13- Pub and 14- Tiz cuz Assmussen\'s pretty good and these closers should be running late, 17- Sandman- biggest underlay cuz of the Tiktok kid connection, 18- Sov- all Mott class but Godawful\'s will not win this year, and 21- Baeza who anywhere near is current odds is phenomenal value relative to the fave! Just for yuks- a small exacta saver Baffy/Lukas 1-5 box in case speed rules and pace does not collapse

Did I mention I hate the slop!? Good luck to all and may they all come home safely! And GO Burnie!

[T Severini]

Well Done Dudley

Did a quick Redboard Room review and noted as badly off as I was in the Kentucky Oaks I had company to share the misery. I was playing Early On her TFigs. If only that track was not wet. That wet track fills one with anxiety... A losers lament.

Up for the 1st Race, seven whole hours sleep, coffee in hand... with two more cups to pour.

Microsoft Windows open for the key resources: Weather; Workout Video Link; Updated PP\'s;  Twinspires Online (The Jabberwockies (Talking Heads) are killing me.), Thorograph.

You may say, \"Tony, why you need a workout link, its all there in the Racing Paper.\"  Yeah it is, but in the end, when the anxiety is high and a horse is giving me the go, I like to see his demeanor in the last workout or two. \"Tony you can\'t bet a race on Demeanor\"... well, I sorta do.

The surface adds to the anxiety. We\'ll see it at race time, but the anxiety is high. Perused the card and don\'t like a lot of it. So am only going to bet about four or five races and though the Derby is full of opportunity, the weather will likely result in lightening up the bet some. We\'ll see.

Lord won\'t you buy me a Mercedes Benz, my friends all drive Porsches I must make amends.

[catcapper]

In the slop am taking the American Pharoahs, Publisher is my longshot key anyway

Having been itching to bet the Journalism/Publisher exacta for weeks. Wouldn\'t that be special...
Journalism is not just superior but he is supreme and he knows it. Itis his world. he is THE MAN. Today will be a test on all fronts for him. I am most worried about trip troubles more than surface or kickback.

am betting th Pharoahs ahe He in tri, too. Wouldn\'t that be special...

Good luck to all
Be brave!

[Dudley2]

Thanks Tony- I\'m also lamenting the Oaks- turn the page today- but he slop remains the agitator.  I\'m not going to play the full card at CD either. Watched the first 3 and the track is playing fair- good! Lemon Muffin from the clouds after missing the break badly- Yay for the closers!

I am about to plug in all my Derby action, and get my version of the Juelp going; Woodford Reserve, Crushed Ice, Skip the syrup and the minty sprigs. Rinse and repeat.

Upon further review- I must play a second minor key in Luxor Cafe. 4-3-1-0 on off tracks. Raced in big fields and carried 128# in his last! So he\'s in the mix with Burnie and the other fine horseflesh.

Thank you in advance to Janis Joplin! :-)