Sierra Leone in the Dandy

Started by Silver Charm, July 26, 2024, 02:55:19 PM

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Silver Charm

I agree. This # will be interesting and here is why. The Optional Claimer in the 5th went in 150:2. The Dandy a rounded off 149:2.

Beyer with those horses in the 5th the Contenders were running 78-82. So how much does 1 second faster move these Dandy horse up?  Complicating things that 5th race I belive was the only Route on the dirt in the Card. And then there was a several hour wait in-between before the Dandy ran.

Post edited the Beyer came back at 103. Serria Leone gets what? A 99 or a 100. This figure may be subject to discussion.

Silver Charm

1000%.  And I presented 3 scenarios and scenario number 1 was Sierra Leone is NOT going to win. Or to take 4-5 trying to get paid here was crazy.

I actually thought Batton Down (Scenario 3) would be sent and I\'m not so sure they didn\'t try but the other 2 to his outside just got there quicker. Johnny V left with intent and was sure he had that two path stalking spot so he kept Batton Down inside

So here we have Fierceness sitting a perfect free and clear stalking trip at 9-5 odds. Scenario 2 and that is how I bet. If he went off at 6-5 it was no play. I bet $50 to win. That isn\'t getting back the $500 from Derby Day. See my post Derby Post about the TG B Horses being boxed would have cost $100 and returned at least 6-1 if not more. A hedge instead of ALL in Fierceness to Win and Place. I remembered missing out on Smarty Jones who laid all over the Field and went off at great odds.

Actually there was a 4th Scenrio I just didn\'t say it. I never said a word about Seize the Grey who has returned to his prior Pat Day Mile form and will probably never be heard from again. At least at this level.

As far as Sierra Leone why don\'t they get him out and put him in the race 4 lengths off the pace. Because he can\'t. Try the rail the entire Trip. He can\'t. If he gets stopped he is toast. He has a Butt up shoulders slightly down running style. A big lumbering type. He probably ran his race but he didn\'t move forward. He is beginning to look a lot like Zandon. Part of the mix and to his credit these are High Level 3YO Grade Ones, but that\'s 3 straight losses. And in each race the odds keep going down. Well somebody is listening to all the excuses. Glad it isn\'t me.....

wrongly2

All I saw hurt horses.  Fierceness bearing out badly and Sierra Leone again bearing in.  Weather it\'s his paddle or not it\'s really costing him lengths.  Batten Down was the only healthy horse in the race and should improve off this, just isn\'t good enough.  This race did make me a believer that Torpedo Anna will be a major contender in the Travers and that the Japanese should take another shot with Forever Young.