Mattress Mack

[Roman]

LA Rams by 3,  so i will be betting Cincinnati +4.5, passing on the money line due to LA being -200, will probably parlay Cincinnati and the over at 48.5. Will be a good game regardless,  Cincinnati is playing lights out,  Burrows is a stud,  and LA has a ton of talent and playmakers.  Good luck to all!

[P-Dub]

The public bets with their eyes, that's why they lose.

For me it's all about data and situational plays.

[jbelfior]

I agree. Here\'s how I see it. The Rams are likely to put up in the neighborhood of 31 points. Yes,I know what the Bengals defense did in the second half last week but it doesn\'t take away from the fact that it\'s an average defense at best.

So if you think Joe Burrow & Co. can put up 27 or more with that O-line vs that pass rush then have at it.


Good Luck,
Joe B

[prist]

TGJB Wrote:
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> I barely even watch it any more, pretty much just
> March Madness and the playoffs.

I haven\'t followed, or watched, much of any sports for years.

I just turned on the Pro Bowl and can\'t believe what I\'m seeing. They\'re playing touch football!

How long has this been going on?

I suspect Butkus will have something to say about this on his favorite new social media platform. :-)

[P-Dub]

prist Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> TGJB Wrote:
> --------------------------------------------------
> -----
> > I barely even watch it any more, pretty much
> just
> > March Madness and the playoffs.
>
> I haven\'t followed, or watched, much of any sports
> for years.
>
> I just turned on the Pro Bowl and can\'t believe
> what I\'m seeing. They\'re playing touch football!
>
> How long has this been going on?
>
> I suspect Butkus will have something to say about
> this on his favorite new social media platform.
> :-)

Other than Sean Taylor destroying a punter, its been this way for years

[boardedup]

Not sure if they sold but Prop Swap had Bengals 300/1 ticket listed. Craziest Super Bowl odds ever.  Burrow is a stud but they're terrible upfront.  That's an issue vs this Rams team.  I think both teams might have a hard time moving the ball.  I like the under.  And probably will take the points though I like the Rams to win a close lower scoring game.  MVP props spreading money on the Rams defensive players is something I'll mess around with as well.  Should be a good game regardless.

[Sandreadis]

Ja\'Marr Chase \"IS\" the Real Deal.
\"
'F it, Ja'Marr's down there somewhere, I'm just gonna throw it up to him and he's gonna make a play.\'"

[statuette]

Reminds me of a young moss

[P-Dub]

He has a much bigger route tree than Moss

[toppled]

Bad beat for both Mack & me.  Mack loses at the end of the game, I don\'t cover because of a missed extra point.  

I\'m going back to racing.  I suggest Mack does the same.

[prist]

toppled Wrote:
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> Bad beat for both Mack & me.  Mack loses at the
> end of the game, I don\'t cover because of a missed
> extra point.  
>
> I\'m going back to racing.  I suggest Mack does the
> same.

How do you handicap for penalty flags?

It should have been Rams 4th & goal with just under 2:00 to play. But for some reason the ref throws a flag at #55 after \"letting them play\" for the entire game.

There\'s a million ways to get screwed in a horse race, but how can you bet on something that can be so heavily influenced by penalty flags?

[johnnym]

Agree especially on the same play the whole offensive line moved prior to the snap.

Bengals got away with one on there TD as well with the face mask.
Agree on your point though.

[prist]

I think there were six flags thrown for the entire game. Half of those came with less than two minutes to play. Ridiculous. Almost as ridiculous as the halftime show ... almost. :-)

[P-Dub]

prist Wrote:
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> how can you bet on something that can be
> so heavily influenced by penalty flags?

Flags, fouls, balls/strikes, etc.. will go for and against you. Shit happens in every form of competition.

Some wins and losses are directly influenced by a call, its part of the deal.

You bet on situations that are +EV, you\'ll win.

[jbelfior]

That\'s two disastrous SB coaching jobs by McVay. His defense and defensive coordinators bailed him out. Continuing to run the ball in the second half = the definition of insanity.

The pass TO Stafford was schoolyard level.

Despite that, it took a missed PAT for the Bengals to cover. Don\'t want to hear about the nonsense at the end. The no call OPI at the start of the second half was the \"sawed off at the start.\"

As I posted earlier last week, even bad bets win sometimes.


Good Luck,
Joe B.