BC Longshots

[Tavasco]

Re: Awesome Slew how much ground loss are you projecting? Two turns. Maybe 3 points altogether?

[toppled]

Today: Catholic Boy in the Juvy turf.  He\'s an undefeated 2YO whose TG #s look slow, but he can jump up and improve.  His 1st to 2nd race was a 7 point jump & he (obviously with only 2 races) hasn\'t gone backwards yet.  He is physically imposing and the darling of the clockers.  Welsch calls him a 2YO in a 3YO body.  

Tomorrow: Whitmore runs down all the speed in the sprint.  He has the fastest back top in the field and has been pointing all year to this race.

[P-Dub]

I\'ve got him underneath, he\'ll bump up the payouts if het gets a trip.

[jerry]

Race 6
#3 Now You\'re Talking 30-1
Looking for a jump up to competitive figure with incremental forward move in last, addition of Lasix and inside post.

Race 8
#3 Sands of Mali 30-1
Toss last. Picks up Prat. Adds Lasix. Inside post.

[justwin]

i have the same 2 long shots today. Lazzam bet down to 8/1
tomorrow holding gold and ballagh rocks

[Tavasco]

Mc990 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> A couple I \"haven\'t heard much about\"...
>
> I\'m going to play Awesome Slew to at least pair
> his top which should be good enough to hit the
> board with a decent trip. I think he even has a
> chance to move forward as a 2 turn mile+ looks
> like it may be his preferred trip.

My intial response to your opinion was you must not have projected ground loss. No wonder John Velasquez didn\'t lose any ground. In what was certainly one of Friday\'s superior trips your pick hangs in there for 3rd (thank you very much). I hope you found a way to convert your excellent opinion into increased chips. 5/2 in the show spot is solid. If you got the tri you are my hero.

Very nice!


> Ami\'s Mesa will be a big price and just pairing up
> makes her a contender... Bred to handle dirt so a
> new top would not surprise in the least.

Unfortunately Ami\'s Mesa did lose some ground but ran as you predicted. I hope you bet her across the board. Better yet I hope you had all/14. Either way I\'m sure it was a loud and emotional race where ever you were.

2/2

Very well done. You\'re on my radar.

[SLAMBINO]

Isn\'t it logical that if you were going to play AM, then you had to play the other horse coming out of PID in the same race or is that too simplistic? I missed that and only played AM.

[johnnym]

Same boat as you,did not even notice they were in the same race till after the fact.

[Molesap]

Still a tough read, but one could argue for inclusion just on key race status alone at that price. Going into the race 4 out of the last 7 winners had won or placed in the PID Masters earlier in the year. However, Bar of Gold had NEVER won a race on a fast track and was just 11-0-3-2 on that surface (she was however, 7-5-1-0 on a wet track). Plus at least 8 horses had significantly faster tops, she was shipping east to west on a late ship with less than 30 days rest.