How to approach a Race

[philywheel]

they are a part of the equation,

[albatross]

I was forced to play golf while in a multiple decade slump on a dark day of an Irish Racing trip. When I was looking to go straight to the 19th hole, I asked my caddie for some encouragement. To quote Nigel, \" I encourage you to give up the game\" I haven\'t played since and thank him every time the chance to lose balls and get sore hands for 4 hours comes up. A new meet soon starts Friday, you being a NYRA guy, trust your gut and go in with both hands. Gotta be better than golf no matter what.

[jbelfior]

Or you can bet against Lady Eli on Saturday.


Good Luck,
Joe B

[Edgorman]

Philywheel,

I assume you live in Philadelphia.  I would suggest going to PARX this weekend.
After spending a day wagering there, things can only get better. Think of it as a purge.

[philywheel]

I live 3 miles from Belmont and The Big A
My name is Phil,I have been known to wheel horse\'s Hence philywheel
Been to Parx a handful of times ,less than 2 hr drive
its Beautiful and the Casino and Waitress are even more beautiful

But I am still tired of losing Photo finishes

I am too good a capper to be in such a prolonged slump

lets hope Saratoga Changes things

Philywheel

[trackjohn]

Phil:

Last year at Saratoga...I lost 8 noses over a 17 day period...got DQ\'d out of a P-5 that cost me $20k payout for @ $120 (.50¢) wager...it sounds like your mindset was what mine was like...I backed off for 5-6 days...still watched them but didn\'t wager until the last week of the meet...got it all back and more the last weekend...IMO Saratoga is one of the few meets where you can do this...It\'s never a bad idea to take a step back a bit, regroup, and come back refreshed!

John

[TempletonPeck]

philywheel Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I am too good a capper to be in such a prolonged
> slump

At least the slump hasn\'t drained your confidence ;-)

[BitPlayer]

To me, that\'s the hardest part about this game: by the time you have enough data to conclude that something is working, the game has changed.  The trainer population changes (e.g., Diodoro and Gargan at NYRA), \"training techniques\" change, the tools that competing handicappers use change (e.g., Timeform US, clocker reports, Maggie Wolfendale), the mix of races changes (e.g., more turf sprints), etc.

When you are playing horizontally (I generally don\'t), where one or two hits or misses can make a dramatic difference in your ROI, it has to be even more difficult.

[Mc990]

I know they\'re part of the narrative... The equation, not so much IMO. My guess (without any data to back it up) is that any perceived jockey advantage is already more than accounted for in the odds.

[johnnym]

If I cash a ticket

[philywheel]

major jockey changes ( a reyes for a rosario)  ,when I see lone speed and Karamoche is on , that always is a positive.

[philywheel]

For opening day,
 in the 3rd I like the 5 Sir Ballantine, not gonna get into details on why ,would take to long
I appreciate all the responses ,some really hit home

Im sure he will lose by a ns


Good luck to every one at the SPA

[TGJB]

You know where you are, right?

[philywheel]

Not sure what you mean Jerry?

[TGJB]

Do ANY of these posts about handicapping involve TG? Jockeys, trips, types of bets...