Derby numbers

Started by FrankD., May 09, 2017, 07:02:27 PM

jerry: Actually, that turned out well. We can only hope for a similar outcome.
May 10, 2017, 07:06:33 PM
jerry: Does anybody really know what time it is?
May 10, 2017, 07:10:18 PM
jerry: I\'ll second that.
May 10, 2017, 07:12:22 PM
sekrah: Tale Of Ekati Wrote:
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> Can AD run three negatives in a row?
> Has there ever been a lightly raced three year old
> run three negatives in a row?


Curlin had 9 races as a three year old and I don\'t think one of them was over 0.5.
May 10, 2017, 07:45:57 PM
Tale Of Ekati: Absolutely correct Sekrah, just looked up his sheet. My God that was one amazing racehorse. What a sheet!!
May 10, 2017, 07:57:17 PM
Leamas57: Exactly, FP!

The numbers are based on guesses and assumptions--however professional. Some people (and some trolls) used \"numbers\" to bet against TAP and AD, and to dismiss BOM because of the assumptions about the SA Derby. And I loved the way LAL closed in the Arkansas Derby (and that Lanerie was up), but got caught up myself in the numbers surrounding the (1st) post position in the big race.

You have to use some figs and stats, sure, but when you put it all on the subjective interpretation of a number, you\'re not betting on horses anymore.

Leamas
May 10, 2017, 08:15:38 PM
johnnym: Just wish his son had some of that Saturday
May 10, 2017, 09:26:42 PM
P-Dub: jerry Wrote:
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> Does anybody really know what time it is?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZKmdfUNBHo
May 11, 2017, 04:31:44 AM
Chas04: Please lawdy let the frenchie stay in contact with AD early in the Preakness. Please tell me that\'s gonna be the \"team plan\" heading in. Make it a fair fight with a good trip, not far off the pace. Please let this happen O\' lawdy. Always Dreaming will gut that horse like a fish if this happens. When you gut a fish you start away from the guts upward to the head. You then complete the gut by slicing through the body (bony) portion. My concern is try the reverse tactic.
May 11, 2017, 07:13:29 AM
Gerard: And if he was trained by TAP and owned by business minded interests, that career would have ended the first week of June 2007. Just a post mortem thanks to Jess Jackson and Stonestreet, a current thanks to all Cal Chrome\'s connections, and a wish we could\'ve seen AP face Arrogate.
May 11, 2017, 06:27:56 PM
razzle: SoCal, FWIW, I like your question.  Watching replays of his two races prior, it\'s hard to tell the level of effort. To me, it raises a paradoxical issue of \"hidden form\" in races which he won?
May 12, 2017, 07:26:07 AM
SoCalMan2: Thank you, Razzle.  Haven\'t seen you in these parts in a long time.
May 12, 2017, 11:41:08 AM
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