Derby numbers

Started by FrankD., May 09, 2017, 05:02:27 PM

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jerry

Actually, that turned out well. We can only hope for a similar outcome.

jerry

Does anybody really know what time it is?

jerry


sekrah

Tale Of Ekati Wrote:
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> Can AD run three negatives in a row?
> Has there ever been a lightly raced three year old
> run three negatives in a row?


Curlin had 9 races as a three year old and I don\'t think one of them was over 0.5.

Tale Of Ekati

Absolutely correct Sekrah, just looked up his sheet. My God that was one amazing racehorse. What a sheet!!

Leamas57

Exactly, FP!

The numbers are based on guesses and assumptions--however professional. Some people (and some trolls) used \"numbers\" to bet against TAP and AD, and to dismiss BOM because of the assumptions about the SA Derby. And I loved the way LAL closed in the Arkansas Derby (and that Lanerie was up), but got caught up myself in the numbers surrounding the (1st) post position in the big race.

You have to use some figs and stats, sure, but when you put it all on the subjective interpretation of a number, you\'re not betting on horses anymore.

Leamas

johnnym

Just wish his son had some of that Saturday

P-Dub

jerry Wrote:
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> Does anybody really know what time it is?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZKmdfUNBHo
P-Dub

Chas04

Please lawdy let the frenchie stay in contact with AD early in the Preakness. Please tell me that\'s gonna be the \"team plan\" heading in. Make it a fair fight with a good trip, not far off the pace. Please let this happen O\' lawdy. Always Dreaming will gut that horse like a fish if this happens. When you gut a fish you start away from the guts upward to the head. You then complete the gut by slicing through the body (bony) portion. My concern is try the reverse tactic.

Gerard

And if he was trained by TAP and owned by business minded interests, that career would have ended the first week of June 2007. Just a post mortem thanks to Jess Jackson and Stonestreet, a current thanks to all Cal Chrome\'s connections, and a wish we could\'ve seen AP face Arrogate.

razzle

SoCal, FWIW, I like your question.  Watching replays of his two races prior, it\'s hard to tell the level of effort. To me, it raises a paradoxical issue of \"hidden form\" in races which he won?

SoCalMan2

Thank you, Razzle.  Haven\'t seen you in these parts in a long time.