Next

[jbelfior]

Time to move on. What else can those who took their lumps yesterday do.

Appears that many who ran yesterday will not be going to Baltimore. CE cannot open one of his eyes today and may not run. BOM and Gormley going back to SA while Royal Mo probably goes. McCracken has a puncture in his left hind leg and may be out for a while. Tapwrit and Patch appear headed to the Belmont. LAL likely for the Preakness. Hence and Untrapped unlikely. Practical Joker not going. Ditto IWC.

Good Luck,
Joe B.

[Tavasco]

I wonder about Wild Shot? Calumet is becoming quite a story.

[jerry]

Cloud Computing and Malagasy have been mentioned. Both have run at least one competitive number.

[ajkreider]

Was thinking Brown might take a shot with Timeline. Haven\'t seen his numbers, but a salty maiden win and a romp in the slop - talent there for sure.

[jbelfior]

Malagacy not going. Looks like Classic Empire is in.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[jerry]

Couldn\'t really see Malagacy going any way. Why would you enter a horse who could upend a possible triple crown run?

[jbelfior]

Not sure what he would have been upending. At this point, Malagacy wants no part of a 1 3/16ths.

Add Hence to the mix.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[Airnate012]

I think the place to beat Always Dreaming is at Belmont. I don\'t see him losing the Preakness.

[richiebee]

I hope you are correct; my bankroll could use another Birdstone.

[Airnate012]

My thoughts EXACTLY. The Derby killed me this year, or maybe I killed myself with the bottle of Woodford watching the undercard then trying to play multiple supers on the Derby with 10 MTP?

[jerry]

The Belmont\'s been the money shot. But, if AD did back up a couple of points, won\'t that be a pure 0-2-X play? As good as he looked in the Derby, so did Orb and Super Saver who, coincidently also won their Derbies on sloppy tracks.

[Mc990]

I\'ll wait to see how the figures come back to comment further but to me the percentage play is to be against him at Pimlico.

Seems the majority of the horses with 5-6 weeks into the derby that run well, bounce on the 2 week turnaround. They certainly don\'t move forward which I believe he\'ll have to in order to justify even money or less.

I can only imagine what Pletcher\'s numbers are on 2 weeks rest...

As a side note, If CE goes in the Preakness, what are fair matchup odds vs AD? -110 both sides?

[johnnym]

Would love to see AD run a nice big new top in the Preakness.
I\'ll wait for the Belmont.

[FrankD.]

Hardly fair,
3/5 against 5/2, 3/1 on CE

I would think you could find +140 on CE

[Mc990]

I should have phrased that differently... As a bettor, what do you make the true odds? To me it seems close to a pick\'em proposition.

Your numbers seem pretty spot on as to what will be available.