Tavasco: OK, I\'m convinced.

I\'m betting everything he enters Wednesday!

Agastache: I think what I find impressive about this particular stat is that out of 146 starters for Casse, 103 of them were 3-1 or less. Definitely not under the radar.

magicnight: He was 4th in earnings last year, trailing only TAP, Brown and Baffert.

RICH: he is 23-169 over 30 days

so there is an overlap in the favorites/ and less than 3-1
some of those less than 3-1 were not favorites

Tavasco: For the curious few. Mark Casse has one scheduled starter tomorrow June 22.

Facts: Courtesy DRF

Race #4 Woodbine Race Course

$50K MCL Fillies

6F on the Turf

#9 Tancook m/l 2/1 P. Husbands up

This horse s/b representative of sample category. Yet, there c/b some chinks. the filly is dropping out of a stakes race run at 1 +1/16 on the artificial surface. A race in which she trailed, ran wide and finished strong but too late to be a factor. On 6/14 (a week ago)

Previously in a WO MSW route which probably convinced connections to try the stakes. From the comments

TANCOOK, off slowly and rated at the rear of the pack,
closed five-wide on the far turn then rallied gamely outside. Finishing 2nd beaten a neck.

Prior to that (third race back) she ran a good third on the turf but at mile and 3/16.

In summary sprinting this filly on turf could be a good trainer move or just as likely desperation. Could have some OK TG #\'s based on previous wide trips.

Since Mr. Casse has only one horse racing I can\'t get hurt to bad. Yet I suspect I can count on only one thing ... this filly will be coming home like a runaway freight train and outside!



EDIT
It seems I read the equibase race history wrong. This gal hasn\'t raced in a year. She has been working regularly. So another question mark. Note Casse has good ROI % route to sprint. OK off layoffs. OK surface changes. But running for a tag today.

jerry: You might be right.

Tavasco: Mark Casse trainee Tancook was beat down to the 6/5 favorite despite the factual warning posted on this TG bulletin board.

However his failure to hit the board while a disappointment to the masses certainly pleased holders of the $1 trifecta which paid $1,645 in large part thanks to the 50/1 winner.

In the end while suspecting an eminent turnaround I decided 6/5 was a terrible price given the horses history. Passed the race to catch MC\'s rebound later this week.

Earlier chalk players got hosed when Navarro & Jacobson disappointed most in the 8th @ Delaware.

belmont3: http://www.horseracingnation.com/person/Mark_E_Casse

Everything you wanted to know about Mark Casse but were afraid to ask.

Wrongly: Richie

FYI, it\'s now from 97 starts 3-8-13 picking up a win at Woodbine with Conquest Vivi.  T.

Tavasco: Not only is M. Casse striking at an apparent low pct it seems most of his entries are odds on, to compound the issue? Looked like Awesome Banner hit a patch of quicksand.

Wrongly: Conquest Curlgirl won but he wash 3 for his last 103.  Posted earlier today that he wants to win the trainer tile at CD but I\'m betting against.