Thoro-pattern Bluegrass Stakes

Started by Ill-bred, April 07, 2016, 08:12:39 AM

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Ill-bred

I am surprised to see the Thoro-pattern likes big jump-up horses such as Donegal Moon and Cards of Stone. Makes them both 40% or more to run ANOTHER top!? And u can add in another 20+% chance of pairing...

Is there something wrong with the formula? What am I missing?

These don\'t seem like trustworthy development lines.

TGJB

Read the explanatory material for the Thoro-Patterns.
TGJB

Ill-bred

Ok thanks, I read it again...

Probably already on your radar--I think u guys could improve the Thoro-Pattern figure to fit more specific circumstances, making it more applicable to more horses.

The way I read the product explanation, the Thoro-Pattern is being supplied for tons of horses on which the %s can\'t be taken at face value.

TGJB

The more specific you make it, the smaller the sample size, the less the percentages can be trusted. It\'s a balancing act.
TGJB