Keeneland Bluegrass Day

Started by Chuckles_the_Clown2, April 12, 2004, 08:57:22 PM

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Chuckles_the_Clown2

The Races:

4up,NW1X,8.5:  24.40, 48.59, 1:13.67, 1:39.39, 1:45.72
Favorite off pace
4up,F,10k,7f:  22.78, 46.34, 1:11.55, 1:25.18
Favorite always prominent
4up,F,25k,8.5: 24.13, 48.22, 1:13.20, 1:40.52, 1:47.43
2nd choice wire
4up,F,MSW,8.5: 23.98, 48.99, 1:14.98, 1:43.11, 1:50.15
Favorite off pace
3up,250K/stk,7f: 22.63, 45.20, 1:09.78, 1:23.14
Favorite off pace
3up,MSW,6f: 21.85, 46.11, 58.72, 1:11.99
3rd choice wire
3yr,F,NW1X,8.5: 23.57, 47.84, 1:12.90, 1:39.40, 1:45.91
Closer 4th choice
3yr,750K/stk,9f: 23.70, 46.60, 1:11.12, 1:36.91, 1:49.42
Closer 2nd choice

Tough card to make figs on is my impression. Arguably, there were two quality races on the card. The sprint stakes went in good fractions in 1:23:14 with a 1:09:78 3/4 mark.

1OK claiming fillies ran 7 marks in these fractions:

22.78, 46.34, 1:11.55, 1:25.18
23.70, 46.60, 1:11.12, 1:36.91, 1:49.42

Just above the Bluegrass for comparison, granted 7 races later.

The track was obviously slow for Keeneland, but there were some very cheap looking races from a \"Race Conditions\" perspective. I\'m suspecting the track sped up a bit throughout the day, but I\'m not certain in any way of that. The horses, but for the Stakes, may have been that cheap. I didn\'t handicap this card and I have no real insight into the animals. The fact that TCE overcame a traditional front runner bias here tends to indicate the track was quirky. I really thought Lionheart could pull a Pulpit or Millineum Wind here. I can\'t say that win was a 111 Beyer. His previous best Beyer was a 101. He could have have picked up that many lengths. If its legit, we are into bounce or dominance considerations for two horses. I think we are gonna have to defer to the T-Graphs here.