Morning Line

[Fairmount1]

My pre-draw morning line.  Little different thoughts than phil23 and JB\'s thought on Rosie money.  

California Chrome 2.90
Wicked Strong 8.10
Danza 9.50
Hoppertunity 11.50
Samraat 13.20
Dance with Fate 14.30
Candy Boy 17.20
Ride On Curlin 17.20
Tapiture 19.00
Intense Holiday 20.80
Vicar\'s In Trouble 22.70
Chitu 23.20
Medal Count 23.80
Wildcat Red 27.70
Uncle Sigh 30.30
Vinceremos 32.20
General a Rod 33.30
Commanding Curve 38.40
Harry\'s Holiday 45.40
We Miss Artie 50.00

[jerry]

Doubt you\'ll see 8-1 on WS.

[richiebee]

Good work, appreciate the effort.

My only comment: Saaamraaat at 13/1 has 6 lifetime races: 5 wins and a second
to the likely Derby second fave.

Ride on Curlin at 17/1 has two lifetime wins, at 5-1/2 and 6 furlongs. ROC is
trained by William Gowan, who came up under Jack Van Berg. Van Berg was
stabled with Gowan at OP over the winter. JVB has commented that ROC did not
miss an oat all winter. If ROC turns up in the Nathan\'s Hot Dog eating
contest, I\'ll bet him there.

Horizontal Herd: CC, Saamraat, Intense Holiday, Danza, Hoppertunity.

Confirmed Tosses: We Miss Artie, Wildcat Red, General A, Ride on Curlin,
Dance with Fate, Uncle Sigh, Vinceremos, Harry\'s Holiday, Chitu and,
reluctantly, Candy Boy, who has shown promise but whose TG #s do not warrant
inclusion in the Herd.

Need Further Evaluation: Medal Count, Vicars in Trouble, WS (lets see how he acclimates to CD).

[louisvilleguy1111]

I could see the odds of Danza and IH being allot closer to each other then what you have them but it looks good. Nice work.

[pizzalove]

I love this type of post.  Interesting.  And I think this is pretty damn accurate.  If I were to make any changes I would put Tapiture more like 30-1 and Danza 12-1.  Harrys Holiday and We miss Artie 70-1.

I am also hoping for CC at 2-1 and Wicked strong at 5-1 to really boost up the other odds.

[phil23]

Will echo the other\'s nice job.

Think Wicked Strong a bit lower (6\'s?), VIC a lot lower (rosie), and IH probably gets bet down due to the good works. But to that point, us degenerates who are following it minute by minute, maybe we overestimate the impact the hype of the big works on the public? Think Sammy and DWF float up.