kentuckyOaks

Started by pres711, April 25, 2014, 03:32:59 PM

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pres711

based on her two-year old top, with a new neg top and and a neg off second out this one looks like a major bounce candidate.  If so, this becomes a nice betting race IMO.  I know the CW is she will gallop but there looks to be a nice bet here. several others could step up at nice odds.  Interested in others thoughts.

toppled

I can see Unbridled Forever taking the Oaks if Untapable falters.  Also Rosalind is getting favorable reports from the clockers like Welsch and others who make their reports available to the public.

For the sake of full disclosure I have a future bet on Unbridled Forever & maybe I\'m hoping for something that will be tough to do-beat Untapable.

Rosalind has faced Untapable twice, coming within a nose of Untapable in the Hollywood Starlet while getting a better sheet number & beating her by 67.5 lengths in the Breeder\'s Cup.  One thing we know-In California Rosalind was the better filly when they were 2.  One thing we don\'t know is if Untapable is just a horse for the course at FG since before racing at FG, she was just another filly.  

I\'ll probably put a small wager on Rosalind & play some doubles with her just because head to head, she\'s 1/1 vs Untapable & owns both the better figures & margins of difference.  If my #1 ranked Derby horse gets in (Commanding Curve), I\'ll have to play DDs with Untapable as well as Rosalind.  I have enough of a profit margin if Unbridled Forever wins not to have to use her.

EDIT 4/26:  After Commanding Curve\'s workout this AM, I don\'t care if he gets in or not, but in the next week I\'ll be looking for a different horse unless the clocker reports talk improvement for Curve.