OP Thursday 1/23/2014

Started by Tavasco, January 24, 2014, 04:12:27 AM

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Tavasco

Firstly, Good Luck to the TGr\'s in Vegas at the NHC!

In reviewing yesterdays OP results I had to notice the high pct of longshot winners. Only one winning pick-4 ticket. Fifty cents got someone $22K!

Early in the meet someone posted the speed favoring nature of the track. Something I did not verify but figured the poster\'s analysis probably had some merit.

Thursdays bomb barrage seemed to coincide with a wave of late running long shots.

That was then this is now. However, if your handicapping approach takes track bias into consideration, check it out?

Have fun you may be a TV star by this time next year!

Rick B.

Tavasco Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> In reviewing yesterdays OP results I had to notice
> the high pct of longshot winners. Only one winning
> pick-4 ticket. Fifty cents got someone $22K!
>
> Early in the meet someone posted the speed
> favoring nature of the track. Something I did not
> verify but figured the poster\'s analysis probably
> had some merit.
>
> Thursdays bomb barrage seemed to coincide with a
> wave of late running long shots.

My notes say:

* Unlikely they could add water due to temperature (+7 F)

* Inside paths seemed to tire speed, especially late

* Outside paths - 3, 4, 5-wide or more -- combined with
late speed, were king.

Some of these trainers that won yesterday, well,
that\'ll be about it for them this year.

NOTE: You can expect a rapidly changing surface today
with the sudden warmup that is forecast; I suspect the
track is frozen under the cushion, and thawing (+40 F
predicted) could lead to unpredictable racing conditions,
and perhaps outright cancellation of the card.