2-3 Wide on both Turns Equals What??

[bellsbendboy]

Richie while the title of this thread could not be anymore nebulous I am posting regarding your analysis of Will Take Charge and the overused and misunderstood \"bounce\" theory.  Cappers who predict an upcoming subpar effort from a horse usually are looking only, at that animals last effort and ignoring the overall form cycle. Cannot see the forest because of the trees if you will.  

As far as WTC is concerned clearly blinkers off started a \"new\" form cycle.  In hindsight, the monster well bred long striding chestnut was always cut out to be a good one.  Most competent cappers could deduce after a series of troubled triple crown trips that this colt should at least be tried without the shades. His trainer buys the best horse in the sale, works them brutally and dances every dance showing up at Keeneland every year to reload and is reluctant to alter that nearly four decade long agenda.

As it stands WTC is nominated for the Clark and as a sophomore should get a mild weight concession when the poundage comes out Friday.  Even after a grueling four race cycle it is difficult to see him getting beat.  Some will point out his pair of efforts at Churchill are not very good but he trained very well there this fall and he takes down champion three year old with a win.

In conclusion, horses run new tops when circumstances are in their favor.  They\'re healthy, on the right surface at an appropriate distance and generally get a good set up.  Predicting what is upcoming off of only the last race will always takes a backseat to seeing the big picture. bbb

[Rick B.]

bellsbendboy Wrote:
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> As it stands WTC is nominated for the Clark and as
> a sophomore should get a mild weight concession...
> he takes down champion three year old with a win.

Doesn\'t need it. He\'s done enough to be the 3YO champ
already.

> Predicting what is upcoming off of only the last
> race will always takes a backseat to seeing the
> big picture.

On many levels, indeed.